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Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake - Inter Miami

04/23/2026, 01:30 AM

0 : 2
预期进球
Real Salt Lake
1.6
Total xG
2.8
Inter Miami
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
RSLIM

Real Salt Lake

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.51
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.41
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.15
状态上升 (2.8 vs 2.3 赛季平均)
+0.15
Juan Manuel Sanabria替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
Aiden Hezarkhani替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

Inter Miami

防守实力 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.76
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.22
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
-0.09
Mateo Silvetti替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体2.3球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.68
+0.68
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

48%

平局

28%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

72%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis identifies Real Salt Lake as slight favorites with a 48% win probability
  • Real Salt Lake shows a positive offensive trend, currently scoring an average of 2.8 goals compared to their season average of 2.3
  • Lionel Messi is Inter Miami's top scorer with 7 goals and 1 assist, despite his form showing a slight declining trend
风险因素
  • Real Salt Lake faces several absences, including K. Henry (Groin Injury), J. Barea Barroso (Doubtful), P. Quinton (Doubtful), J. Arias (Groin Injury), E. Somto Eneli (Knee Injury), and A. Piol (Achilles tendon problems)
  • Inter Miami is without Y. Bright (Red Card Suspension), while S. Reguilón Rodríguez (Doubtful) and D. Ayala (Doubtful) are questionable
  • The pipeline analysis predicts a high probability for both teams to score (56%) and over 2.5 goals (52%), suggesting an open game
概述

Real Salt Lake (5th place, 16 points) host Inter Miami (2nd place, 15 points) in Major League Soccer

Match on April 23, 2026, 1:30 AM

Real Salt Lake aims to capitalize on their strong form to defend their high league position

Inter Miami seeks to reduce the gap to the top of the table

近期状态

Real Salt Lake shows very strong form with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 matches in all competitions (Form: WWDWW)

Inter Miami is unbeaten in their last 5 matches, achieving 2 wins and 3 draws (Form: DWDDW)

Real Salt Lake's last game was a 4-2 home win against San Diego

Inter Miami recently won 3-2 away against Colorado Rapids

统计数据

Real Salt Lake scores an average of 2.29 goals per game and concedes 1.43 goals per game this season

At home, Real Salt Lake scores an average of 2.2 goals and concedes 1.0 goal

Inter Miami scores an average of 2.0 goals per game and concedes 1.75 goals per game this season

Away from home, Inter Miami scores an average of 2.0 goals and concedes 1.67 goals

Real Salt Lake has not kept any clean sheets this season

Inter Miami achieved 1 clean sheet

历史交锋

In the 1 previous head-to-head match, there were 0 wins for Real Salt Lake and 1 win for Inter Miami

Overall, Real Salt Lake scored 0 goals and Inter Miami scored 2 goals

Inter Miami won the last encounter 2-0 on February 22, 2024

关键球员

For Real Salt Lake, the following players are in good form or important:

Sergi Solans (Attacker): 5 season goals, 1 assist, form stable

Zavier Gozo (Attacker): 2 season goals, 3 assists, form rising

Diego Luna (Midfielder): 2 season goals, 1 assist, form stable

For Inter Miami, the following players are in good form or important:

Lionel Messi (Attacker): 7 season goals, 1 assist, form declining

Germán Berterame (Attacker): 2 season goals, 1 assist, form stable

Rodrigo De Paul (Midfielder): 1 season goal, 2 assists, form declining

门将

Rafael Cabral of Real Salt Lake has an average season rating of 6.86 and no clean sheets

Dayne St. Clair of Inter Miami has an average season rating of 6.41 and 1 clean sheet

影响因素

Real Salt Lake shows a strong home offense with 11 goals scored and only 5 goals conceded in home games

Inter Miami scores 12 goals away and concedes 10 goals

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