Major League Soccer
Inter Miami - New England
04/25/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.8
3.0
1.1
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
8%1:2
6%3:1
6%xG 分解
Inter Miami
New England
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
26%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Inter Miami has a clear home dominance with 4 wins in 4 direct encounters
- New England's away defense proved extremely vulnerable, conceding an average of 4.5 goals per game
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Inter Miami with a probability of 51%
风险因素
- Inter Miami had only 2 days of rest since their last match
- New England had only 3 days of rest since their last match
概述
Inter Miami (2nd place, 18 points) hosts New England (3rd place, 15 points) in Major League Soccer
The match takes place on April 26, 2026, 12:30 AM
A top-of-the-table clash where both teams are fighting for crucial points at the league summit
近期状态
Inter Miami is unbeaten in their last five matches with 3 wins and 2 draws (WDDWW)
Their last result was a 2-0 away win against Real Salt Lake
New England showed strong form with 4 wins and 1 loss in their last five matches (LWWWW)
Their most recent game ended in a 2-1 away win against Atlanta United
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Inter Miami scored an average of 2.0 goals and conceded 1.56 goals per game this season
In home games, they score an average of 2.0 goals and concede 2.0 goals
Inter Miami's expected goals (xG) increased from 1.37 in the season average to 1.71 in recent form
New England also scores an average of 2.0 goals per game and concedes 1.38 goals
Away from home, New England conceded an average of 4.5 goals while scoring 2.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 6 of Inter Miami's 9 games and in 5 of New England's 8 games
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 7 of Inter Miami's 9 games and in 6 of New England's 8 games
历史交锋
In the 4 past direct encounters, Inter Miami dominated with 4 wins
New England has not managed to win any of these duels so far
The goal difference of 16:5 clearly favors Inter Miami
Inter Miami won the last meeting 4-1 on October 4, 2025
关键球员
For Inter Miami, Lionel Messi is a key player with 7 goals and 1 assist, holding an average rating of 8.03
Rodrigo De Paul contributed significantly with 2 goals and 2 assists and a rating of 7.58
Germán Berterame scored 2 goals and 2 assists
On New England's side, Carles Gil is important with 1 goal and 2 assists and a rating of 7.29
Dor Turgeman scored 2 goals and 2 assists
Peyton Miller contributed 3 goals
Luca Langoni (1 goal, 6 assists) is not nominated
门将
Inter Miami's goalkeeper Dayne St. Clair achieved 2 clean sheets this season with an average rating of 6.57
New England's goalkeeper Matt Turner also had 2 clean sheets and an average rating of 7.21
影响因素
Inter Miami scored an average of 2.0 goals and conceded 2.0 goals in their 2 home games
New England conceded an average of 4.5 goals and scored 2.0 goals in their 2 away games