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Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire - Atlanta United

04/12/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Chicago Fire
2.0
Total xG
3.0
Atlanta United
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

10%

3:1

7%

3:0

7%
xG 分解
CFAU

Chicago Fire

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.95
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.19
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.06
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第12位, 相差6位)
+0.06
Hugo Cuypers未进大名单 (4球, 0助攻)
33%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均2.2球 vs 总体1.6球)

Atlanta United

小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.24
状态上升 (1.5 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.09
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第6位, 相差6位)
-0.07
Aleksey Miranchuk替补席 (4球, 0助攻)
61%进球产出缺失 (仅68%可用)
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.61
+0.61
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

59%

平局

24%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

41%

非平局

76%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 59% probability and expects 2.0 goals for Chicago Fire
  • Chicago Fire shows stable form with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 games, while Atlanta United recorded only one win in the same period
  • Chicago Fire boasts a strong home defense, conceding an average of 0.5 goals in 4 home games, whereas Atlanta United averaged only 3.4 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
  • For Atlanta United, only 69% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available without Aleksey Miranchuk
  • Atlanta United is currently scoring more frequently (1.5 goals per game in recent matches) than their season average (1.2 goals per game)
  • The historical head-to-head record between the teams is even, with one win each and two draws in four direct encounters
概述

Chicago Fire (6th place, 10 points) host Atlanta United (12th place, 4 points) in Major League Soccer

Match on April 12, 2026, 12:30 AM

Chicago Fire enters this clash as favorites

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Chicago Fire shows good form in their last 5 games: WDLWW

The team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

The last matchday ended with a win, and the team is on a 2-win streak

Atlanta United's recent form in their last 5 games is LLWDL

This includes 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Their last result was a loss, and the team is on a 1-loss streak

Chicago Fire is currently in better form than Atlanta United

统计数据

Chicago Fire has scored an average of 1.33 goals per game this season and conceded 0.83 goals per game

The team achieved 3 clean sheets, and there were 3 games where both teams scored

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 matches

In home games, Chicago Fire scored an average of 1.25 goals and conceded 0.5 goals

Atlanta United has scored an average of 1.0 goals per game this season and conceded 1.83 goals per game

The team achieved 1 clean sheet, and there were 3 games where both teams scored

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 matches

Atlanta United conceded an average of 1.17 goals in home games

历史交锋

There have been a total of 4 head-to-head matches between these teams

Chicago Fire won 1 match, Atlanta United won 1 match, and there were 2 draws

Chicago Fire scored 4 goals and Atlanta United scored 6 goals

The last encounter on July 16, 2025, ended in a 2:2 draw

The recent head-to-head record is even

关键球员

For Chicago Fire, Jonathan Bamba stands out as an attacker with 2 season goals and 1 assist, averaging a rating of 7.21

In his last 5 appearances, he scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist, with an average rating of 7.19 and a stable form trend

Jack Elliott, a defender, has an average season rating of 7.03 with a stable form trend

Mbekezeli Mbokazi, another defender, has an average season rating of 6.98, also with a stable form trend

For Atlanta United, Miguel Almirón, an attacker with 2 season assists and an average rating of 7.23, is a key player

In his last 4 appearances, he provided 2 assists with a rating of 6.98, and his form trend is declining

Tomás Jacob, a defender, scored 1 season goal and has an average rating of 6.87

In his last 4 appearances, he scored 1 goal with a rating of 6.95 and shows a stable form trend

Emmanuel Latte Lath, an attacker, scored 1 season goal and 2 assists, averaging a rating of 6.71

In his last 4 appearances, he scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists with a rating of 6.82 and shows a stable form trend

门将

Chicago Fire is represented by goalkeeper Chris Brady, who recorded 3 clean sheets this season

For Atlanta United, goalkeeper Lucas Hoyos is between the posts, achieving 1 clean sheet this season

影响因素

Chicago Fire has scored an average of 1.25 goals at home and conceded only 0.5 goals at home, indicating a home advantage

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