Major League Soccer
Toronto - Cincinnati
04/11/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
3.0
1.4
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
6%2:2
6%xG 分解
Toronto
Cincinnati
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
27%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
61%
否
39%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a higher home win probability for Toronto at 41% compared to 32% for Cincinnati
- Toronto is in significantly better form with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 games, while Cincinnati has only one win
- Cincinnati's away defense is extremely vulnerable, conceding an average of 5.5 goals per game
风险因素
- Despite Cincinnati's poor results, the advanced stats analysis shows a stable offensive form averaging 1.4 goals per game
- The pipeline analysis indicates a high probability of both teams scoring at 61%
- Toronto is missing key players such as R. Edwards (Red Card Suspension) and D. Mihailovic (Pelvis Injury)
概述
Toronto (6th place, 10 points) host Cincinnati (10th place, 6 points) in Major League Soccer
Match on April 11, 2026, 5:00 PM
Toronto aims to solidify its position in the upper half of the table, while Cincinnati seeks to escape the lower ranks
近期状态
Toronto shows a current form of LWDWW
They recorded 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 games
Their last two appearances ended in a win
Cincinnati has a form of LLLWL
They achieved 1 win and 4 losses in their last 5 games
Their last match ended in a loss
统计数据
Toronto scores an average of 1.5 goals per game and concedes 1.67 goals per game this season
At home, they average 1.5 goals scored and 1 goal conceded
They kept 1 clean sheet
Both teams scored in 4 out of 6 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored 4 times
Cincinnati also scores an average of 1.5 goals per game but concedes 2.5 goals per game this season
Away, they average 1.5 goals scored and an alarming 5.5 goals conceded
They kept 1 clean sheet
Both teams scored in 3 out of 6 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored 3 times
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 3 times, Toronto 1 time, and there was 1 draw
The goal difference is 4:7 in favor of Cincinnati
The last encounter on March 8, 2026, was won by Toronto away with a score of 1:0
Cincinnati has proven to be the more dominant team in recent encounters
关键球员
For Toronto, Dániel Sallói (2 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 6.94 rating) and Josh Sargent (1 goal, 1 assist, Avg. 6.90 rating) are in stable form
Alonso Coello (1 assist, Avg. 7.13 rating) shows a rising form
For Cincinnati, Kévin Denkey (2 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 7.07 rating) and Ender Echenique (1 goal, 2 assists, Avg. 7.08 rating) are in stable form
Evander (1 assist, Avg. 7.00 rating) is also in stable form
门将
Luka Gavran (6 appearances) is in goal for Toronto
The team recorded 1 clean sheet
Roman Celentano (4 appearances) is in goal for Cincinnati
The team recorded 1 clean sheet
影响因素
Toronto has scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 1 goal in home games, indicating a certain home advantage