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Major League Soccer

CF Montréal - New York RB

04/18/2026, 06:30 PM

4 : 1
预期进球
CF Montréal
1.6
Total xG
3.4
New York RB
1.8
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

0:2

5%
xG 分解
CMNYR

CF Montréal

防守不足 (场均失2.7球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.78
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第7位, 相差8位)
-0.14
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.14
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.14
小样本 (1场) - 均值回归
+0.12
Wikelman José Carmona Torres未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
35%进球产出缺失 (仅60%可用)

New York RB

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.84倍)
+1.50
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
-0.90
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第15位, 相差8位)
+0.07
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.01
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.59
+0.59
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

25%

客胜

43%

进球数

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

33%

Over 3.5

45%

Under 3.5

55%

双重机会

主胜或平局

57%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

75%

双方进球

68%

32%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: New York RB is the favorite with a 42% win probability
  • Tactical Advantage: New York RB showed possession-dominant football in their last 5 games with an average of 5.4 shots on target
  • Form and Trend: CF Montréal currently scores more frequently (1.6 goals) than their season average (1.14 goals), but has a poor overall form of WLLLL
风险因素
  • Wikelman José Carmona Torres (3G/1A) is missing for CF Montréal, leaving only 60% of the scoring threat available
  • New York RB concedes an average of 2.5 goals per away game
概述

CF Montréal (15th place, 3 points) host New York RB (7th place, 11 points) in Major League Soccer

The match takes place on April 18, 2026, 02:30 PM

New York RB are favorites against the struggling hosts

近期状态

CF Montréal shows a form of WLLLL

The team recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses

New York RB has a form of LDLWD

This corresponds to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

统计数据

CF Montréal scored an average of 1.14 goals per game and conceded 2.71 goals per game

New York RB averaged 1.57 goals scored and 2.14 goals conceded per match

All 7 season games of CF Montréal ended with over 2.5 goals

New York RB recorded 5 matches with over 2.5 goals this season

In their 1 home game so far, CF Montréal scored 1 goal and conceded 2 goals

New York RB scored an average of 1.5 goals in 4 away games and conceded 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, CF Montréal secured 1 win and New York RB recorded 2 wins

2 matches ended in a draw

The goal difference is balanced at 7:7

The last encounter on March 8, 2026, saw CF Montréal win 3:0

关键球员

For CF Montréal, Prince Owusu with 4 goals and 1 assist and a rising form, and Iván Jaime with 1 goal and 1 assist are key players

Matty Longstaff has 0 goals and 0 assists with stable form

For New York RB, Julian Hall stands out with 5 goals and 2 assists

Adri Mehmeti contributed 1 goal and 2 assists, Emil Forsberg 1 goal and 1 assist

门将

CF Montréal's goalkeeper is Thomas Guilier

CF Montréal kept 1 clean sheet this season

Ethan Horvath is in goal for New York RB

New York RB kept 1 clean sheet this season

影响因素

CF Montréal scored 1 goal and conceded 2 goals in their single home game

New York RB scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 2.5 goals in away games

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