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Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo - San Diego

04/23/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Houston Dynamo
1.6
Total xG
2.9
San Diego
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
HDSD

Houston Dynamo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.59倍)
-0.78
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.40
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.07
Lawrence Ennali替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
30%进球产出缺失 (仅75%可用)

San Diego

小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
-0.18
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.12
Marcus Ingvartsen替补席 (5球, 2助攻)
32%进球产出缺失 (仅83%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.68
+0.68
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

27%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

73%

双方进球

61%

39%

关键因素
  • Slightly favored home team: Mathematical analysis predicts a 40% win probability for Houston Dynamo
  • Contrasting form trends: Houston Dynamo shows positive form development, while San Diego has a negative trend
  • Away defensive weakness: San Diego concedes an average of 3.33 goals per away game
风险因素
  • San Diego concedes an average of 3.33 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
  • San Diego has an extensive injury list, including P. Sisniega Fink (Back Injury) and H. Lozano Bahena (Hamstring Injury)
概述

Houston Dynamo (11th place, 9 points) will host San Diego (9th place, 11 points) in a Major League Soccer fixture on April 23, 2026, 2:30 AM. San Diego is currently ahead of Houston Dynamo in the league table, with both teams positioned in the mid-table.

近期状态

Houston Dynamo's form across all competitions is WLLLW, with 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses in their last five matches. Houston Dynamo's most recent game was an away 1-0 win against Orlando City. San Diego's form is DDLLL, recording 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last five outings. Their last match ended in a 2-4 away loss to Real Salt Lake.

统计数据

Houston Dynamo averages 1.57 goals scored per game and concedes 2.29 goals per game. At home, they average 1.67 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded. The team has kept one clean sheet this season. Houston Dynamo's goal production is currently higher (averaging 1.8 goals) than their season average (1.6 goals), indicating a positive trend. San Diego averages 2.0 goals scored per game and concedes 1.75 goals. Away from home, San Diego scores 2.0 goals and concedes an average of 3.33 goals per match. San Diego has kept three clean sheets, one of which was away. San Diego's goal production is currently slowing down (averaging 1.6 goals) compared to their season average of 2.0 goals, which indicates a negative trend. Both teams scored in 4 of Houston's matches and 4 of San Diego's matches. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of Houston's games and 6 of San Diego's games.

历史交锋

There have been a total of 2 head-to-head matches between Houston Dynamo and San Diego. Both teams have secured one win each, with no draws recorded. Houston Dynamo scored 6 goals, while San Diego netted 7 goals. The most recent encounter on October 5, 2025, resulted in a 2-4 away victory for San Diego.

关键球员

For Houston Dynamo, Guilherme is a key attacker with 5 season goals and 4 assists. Midfielder Mateusz Bogusz has contributed 1 goal and 1 assist. Defender Felipe Andrade scored once this season. Lawrence Ennali (2G/0A) is not nominated for Houston. For San Diego, attacker Anders Dreyer is significant with 4 goals and 3 assists this season. Midfielder Onni Valakari has scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist. Attacker Lewis Morgan has contributed 2 assists. Marcus Ingvartsen (5G/2A) is not nominated for San Diego.

门将

Houston Dynamo's goalkeeper, Jonathan Bond, has achieved 1 clean sheet this season. In contrast, San Diego's goalkeeper, Duran Ferree, has recorded 3 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

Houston Dynamo scores an average of 1.67 goals and concedes 2.0 goals per home game. San Diego displays a weaker defense away from home, conceding an average of 3.33 goals per away game, while their offense scores 2.0 goals.

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