Major League Soccer
Cincinnati - Chicago Fire
04/18/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.8
1.4
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
6%2:2
6%xG 分解
Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
38%
平局
28%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
62%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
59%
否
41%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates the highest probability for a home win at 38%
- Cincinnati's Offensive Development: The team shows a positive form trend in goal production, currently averaging 1.6 goals, compared to a season average of 1.4 goals
- Chicago Fire's Offensive Dip: Goal production has recently fallen to 1.3 goals per game, below the season average of 1.5 goals
风险因素
- Cincinnati's Defensive Weakness: The team concedes an average of 4.0 goals per away game
- Limited Goal Threat from Chicago Fire: The team averaged only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Both Teams to Score: The pipeline analysis predicts a 59% probability that both teams will score
概述
Cincinnati (10th place, 7 points) host Chicago Fire (2nd place, 13 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 19, 2026, 12:30 AM. Chicago Fire aims to consolidate its position in the upper ranks, while Cincinnati will try to improve from the lower mid-table.
近期状态
Cincinnati's recent form is L L W L D (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss), with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches. Their last result was a draw.
Chicago Fire is in better form with D L W W W (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss), achieving 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 games. The team has won their last 3 consecutive matches.
统计数据
Cincinnati averaged 1.43 goals scored per game and conceded 2.29 goals per game this season. At home, the team scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 1.0 goal.
Chicago Fire showed stronger defense, conceding an average of 0.71 goals per game while scoring 1.29 goals. Away from home, they scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 1.5 goals. Chicago Fire kept 4 clean sheets in total, Cincinnati 1.
Both teams scored in 4 of Cincinnati's 7 matches. For Chicago Fire, both teams scored in 3 of 7 matches. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 of Cincinnati's games and 4 of Chicago Fire's games.
历史交锋
In 4 past head-to-head encounters, Cincinnati won 3 times and Chicago Fire won once, with no draws. Cincinnati scored 7 goals, while Chicago Fire netted 5 goals. The last meeting saw Cincinnati win 2-1 on July 5, 2025.
关键球员
For Cincinnati, Ender Echenique (1 goal, 2 assists in 7 appearances, avg 7.00 rating in last 5 games), Tom Barlow (1 goal in 7 appearances, avg 6.72 rating in last 5 games), and Pavel Bucha (1 goal in 6 appearances, avg 6.79 rating in last 5 games) are notable. Not nominated: Kévin Denkey (2G/1A).
At Chicago Fire, Hugo Cuypers showed strong performance with 4 goals in 4 appearances and an avg 7.67 rating in last 5 games. Robin Lod (1 goal, 1 assist in 7 appearances) and Maren Haile-Selassie (1 goal in 7 appearances) are also key players. Not nominated: Jonathan Bamba (2G/2A), Leonardo Barroso (0G/2A).
门将
Roman Celentano of Cincinnati had an average rating of 6.79 in his last 5 games across 5 appearances. His team kept 1 clean sheet this season.
Chris Brady of Chicago Fire achieved an average rating of 7.14 in his last 5 games across 3 appearances. Chicago Fire recorded 4 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
Cincinnati scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 1.0 goal per home game.
Chicago Fire scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 1.5 goals per away game. No data is available regarding the influence of weather or venue history.