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Major League Soccer

New England - Columbus Crew

04/18/2026, 11:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
New England
1.5
Total xG
3.2
Columbus Crew
1.7
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
NECC

New England

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.65倍)
-1.16
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.68
防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.46
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均2.2球)
+0.06

Columbus Crew

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.61倍)
+1.23
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
-0.75
防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.47
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.15
Wessam Abou Ali未进大名单 (5球, 1助攻)
Taha Habroune替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
55%进球产出缺失 (仅47%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.66
+0.66
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

26%

客胜

41%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

39%

Under 3.5

61%

双重机会

主胜或平局

59%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

74%

双方进球

64%

36%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an away win with a probability of 41%
  • New England displays a very strong defense at home, conceding only 0.20 goals per home game on average this season
  • Columbus Crew is significantly weakened by absences, with only 47% of their usual goal production available, missing Wessam Abou Ali and Taha Habroune
风险因素
  • Columbus Crew's goal production is faltering (averaging 1.25 goals per game recently, season average 1.5) and shows a negative form trend
  • Despite New England's strong home defense, the historical head-to-head record shows Columbus Crew as the dominant side with 3 wins in 4 matches
  • New England is without L. Campana Romero (Hamstring Injury) and M. Polster (Hamstring Injury)
概述

New England (8th place, 9 points) host Columbus Crew (11th place, 6 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 19, 2026, 12:30 AM. New England aims to solidify its position in the upper half of the table, while Columbus Crew seeks improved form to climb the standings.

近期状态

New England shows an inconsistent form with LWLWW in their last five matches across all competitions, reflecting 3 wins and 2 losses. Their last result was a win. Columbus Crew has a form of DLLWD, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five games, with the last game being a draw. New England is unbeaten in their last two matches, while Columbus Crew drew their most recent game.

统计数据

New England scores an average of 2.00 goals per game and concedes 1.50 goals on average this season. At home, New England is particularly strong, averaging 2.00 goals scored and only 0.20 goals conceded per home game, with 2 clean sheets. Columbus Crew averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.43 goals conceded per game. Away from home, Columbus Crew scores 1.33 goals and concedes 1.33 goals per game, with 0 clean sheets. For New England, over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 6 matches, and both teams scored in 3 matches. For Columbus Crew, over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 7 matches, and both teams scored in 5 matches.

历史交锋

In the 4 head-to-head encounters between New England and Columbus Crew, New England has secured 1 win, while Columbus Crew has won 3 times. There have been no draws. The goal difference stands at 3:11 in favor of Columbus Crew. The last meeting on August 23, 2025, ended in a 2:1 victory for New England.

关键球员

For New England, key players could include Brayan Ceballos (Defender) with 2 goals and 0 assists, holding an average rating of 7.46 in 5 season appearances. Luca Langoni (Attacker) has 1 goal and 5 assists in 6 season appearances and Carles Gil (Midfielder) has 0 goals and 1 assist in 6 season appearances. For Columbus Crew, Diego Rossi (Midfielder) stands out with 3 goals and 0 assists in 7 season appearances, and Max Arfsten (Attacker) with 1 goal and 2 assists in 7 season appearances. Rudy Camacho (Defender) has an average rating of 6.99 in 7 season appearances.

门将

New England's goalkeeper Matt Turner achieved 2 clean sheets in 6 season appearances. Patrick Schulte, Columbus Crew's goalkeeper, recorded 1 clean sheet in 7 season appearances.

影响因素

New England benefits from a significant home advantage, scoring an average of 2.00 goals and conceding only 0.20 goals in home games. There is no venue history or weather data available that could influence the match.

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