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Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union

04/25/2026, 11:30 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Columbus Crew
1.5
Total xG
2.6
Philadelphia Union
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
CCPU

Columbus Crew

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.6倍)
-1.14
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.69
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.31
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第15位, 相差6位)
+0.04
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.03
Wessam Abou Ali未进大名单 (5球, 1助攻)
41%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)

Philadelphia Union

防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.61
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.21
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.19
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.08
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第9位, 相差6位)
-0.07
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

29%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

55%

非平局

71%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Mathematical Analysis: Columbus Crew has a home win probability of 46%
  • Head-to-Head: Columbus Crew is unbeaten in the last 4 encounters against Philadelphia Union
  • Philadelphia Union Offensive Form: Philadelphia Union currently scores more often (1.8 goals) than their season average (1.1 goals)
风险因素
  • Columbus Crew has only 2 days of rest since their last match
  • Philadelphia Union has only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • W. Abou Ali (5G/1A) is missing for Columbus Crew, which weakens their offense
概述

Columbus Crew (9th place, 9 points) host Philadelphia Union (15th place, 5 points)

Major League Soccer match on April 25, 2026, 11:30 PM

Columbus Crew aims to improve their standing in the lower mid-table

Philadelphia Union is fighting to escape the relegation zone

近期状态

Columbus Crew's form across all competitions is LWDLW

This means 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

Their last result was a win

Philadelphia Union shows a form of LLWDD across all competitions

They recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 games

The team last played to two consecutive draws

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Columbus Crew averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.44 goals conceded per game this season

They kept 1 clean sheet

Both teams scored in 7 of 9 season matches, and 6 matches finished with over 2.5 goals

At home, Columbus Crew averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded

Philadelphia Union averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.67 goals conceded per game

They also kept 1 clean sheet

Both teams scored in 6 of 9 season matches, and 6 matches finished with over 2.5 goals

Away from home, Philadelphia Union averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.43 goals conceded

历史交锋

In 4 previous head-to-head matches between Columbus Crew and Philadelphia Union

Columbus Crew secured 3 wins, while Philadelphia Union did not win any match

There was 1 draw between the two teams

Columbus Crew scored a total of 7 goals, with Philadelphia Union scoring 4 goals

The last encounter saw Columbus Crew win 1-0 on June 29, 2025

Columbus Crew has been dominant in recent direct encounters

关键球员

For Columbus Crew, Diego Rossi is a key midfielder with 4 season goals and 1 assist

In the last 5 games, he scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist with stable form

Max Arfsten in attack contributed 2 goals and 3 assists this season

He recently scored 1 goal and 1 assist in 4 games, but his form is declining

Midfielder Taha Habroune provided 2 assists in 8 season appearances

His form is rising with 1 assist in his last 3 games

For Philadelphia Union, Milan Iloski is a key attacker with 2 season goals and 1 assist

His form is rising with 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games

Danley Jean Jacques in midfield scored 2 goals in 8 season appearances

He also scored 2 goals in his last 4 games, showing stable form

Jesús Bueno, also a midfielder, scored 1 goal in 8 season appearances

He scored 1 goal in his last 5 games, and his form is stable

门将

Patrick Schulte, Columbus Crew's goalkeeper, recorded 1 clean sheet this season

His form is declining with a trend delta of -0.27

Andre Blake, Philadelphia Union's goalkeeper, also recorded 1 clean sheet this season

His form is stable with a trend delta of -0.08

影响因素

Columbus Crew averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded in home games

Philadelphia Union averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.43 goals conceded in away games

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