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Major League Soccer

Atlanta United - CF Montréal

05/02/2026, 11:30 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Atlanta United
1.5
Total xG
3.1
CF Montréal
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
AUCM

Atlanta United

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.69倍)
-0.72
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.31
防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.07
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.06
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1球)
全员可用

CF Montréal

小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.32
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.11
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.11
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

27%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

73%

双方进球

63%

37%

关键因素
  • CF Montréal's rising offensive form is evident in their higher recent goal output (1.8) compared to their season average (1.4), led by top scorer Prince Owusu
  • Atlanta United's stagnant goal production, currently at just 0.8 goals per game, is significantly below their season average of 1.0, reflecting their poor overall form
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 63% probability for both teams to score, and a 59% probability for over 2.5 goals in the match
风险因素
  • CF Montréal concedes an alarming average of 3.4 goals per away game
概述

Atlanta United (13th place, 7 points) host CF Montréal (12th place, 9 points) in a Major League Soccer match on May 2, 2026, 11:30 PM. Both teams are in the lower third of the table and are aiming to improve their positions

近期状态

Atlanta United's form (LLLLW) shows a loss in four of the last five games, with a recent win against Toronto. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss. The team has recorded 1 win and 4 losses in their last five matches. CF Montréal's current form (LLLWW) is on the rise with two consecutive wins. The team has 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five matches

统计数据

Atlanta United averages 0.9 goals per game this season and concedes 1.7 goals. At home, they average 0.88 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded per home game. Atlanta United kept 1 clean sheet, both teams scored in 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 5 games. Atlanta United's goal production is currently stagnant (0.8) compared to their season average (1.0). CF Montréal averages 1.44 goals per game and concedes 2.22 goals. Away, they average 1.4 goals scored and concede a high 3.4 goals per away game. CF Montréal kept 2 clean sheets, both teams scored in 4 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 8 games. CF Montréal is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.4)

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta United secured 1 win, CF Montréal 2 wins, and there were 2 draws. Atlanta United scored 7 goals, while CF Montréal scored 8 goals. The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on August 9, 2025. CF Montréal has been more dominant in recent direct encounters

关键球员

For Atlanta United, Aleksey Miranchuk (5 goals, 0 assists), Tomás Jacob (1 goal, 0 assists), and Tristan Muyumba (1 goal, 0 assists) are crucial. Miranchuk has recently shown a slightly declining form. For CF Montréal, Prince Owusu (6 goals, 4 assists) stands out, contributing 4 goals and 4 assists in the last five games with a rising form trend. Wikelman José Carmona Torres (3 goals, 1 assist) and Matty Longstaff (1 goal, 1 assist) are other important players

门将

Lucas Hoyos is Atlanta United's goalkeeper and has 1 clean sheet this season. CF Montréal starts with Thomas Gillier in goal. No data is available for his season appearances or clean sheets

影响因素

Atlanta United has scored an average of 0.88 goals in home games and conceded 1.38 goals. CF Montréal has scored an average of 1.4 goals in away games but conceded an alarming 3.4 goals per game on the road

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