🇺🇸

Major League Soccer

Orlando City - Atlanta United

05/16/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Orlando City
1.5
Total xG
2.8
Atlanta United
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
OCAU

Orlando City

防守不足 (场均失2.8球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.92
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-0.78
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.38
状态上升 (2.8 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.38
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.33
Tiago替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Atlanta United

防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.48
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.18
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.11
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.07
Emmanuel Latte Lath替补席 (2球, 2助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.77
+0.77
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

28%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

72%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Orlando City shows a positive attacking form development (currently 2.8 goals compared to 1.5 season average)
  • Atlanta United's away defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 3.0 goals per game
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 41% for Orlando City
风险因素
  • Orlando City has only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Atlanta United concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away game
  • The head-to-head record shows a slight dominance by Atlanta United
概述

Orlando City (12th place, 13 points) hosts Atlanta United (14th place, 10 points) in Major League Soccer

The match takes place on May 16, 2026, 7:30 PM

Both teams are in the lower third of the table and fighting to catch up

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Orlando City's form is WLWLW

The team achieved 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

Atlanta United's form is LLWWL

The visitors recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 games

Orlando City won their last home game 4-3 against Philadelphia Union

Atlanta United lost their last away game 1-2 against LA Galaxy

统计数据

Orlando City scored an average of 1.54 goals per game this season and conceded 2.85 goals

At home, the average is 1.62 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded

Atlanta United has an average of 1.08 goals scored and 1.67 goals conceded per game

Away, they scored an average of 1.0 goals and conceded 3.0 goals

Orlando City has not kept any clean sheets this season

Atlanta United has kept 1 clean sheet so far

Both teams scored in 8 Orlando City matches

Both teams scored in 7 Atlanta United matches

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 10 Orlando City matches

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 7 Atlanta United matches

历史交锋

In the 5 direct encounters so far, there have been no draws

Orlando City won 2 of these matches, Atlanta United won 3

Both teams scored 7 goals each in these meetings

The last encounter on May 28, 2025, ended in a 3-2 victory for Atlanta United

Atlanta United has been the more dominant team in recent head-to-head matches

关键球员

For Orlando City, Martín Ojeda (9 goals), Justin Ellis (1 goal, 2 assists) and Adrián Marín (3 assists) are crucial

Martín Ojeda scored 7 goals in the last 5 games with an average rating of 7.84

Adrián Marín provided 3 assists in the last 5 games with a rating of 6.66

Justin Ellis contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.32

For Atlanta United, Aleksey Miranchuk (5 goals, 2 assists), Saba Lobjanidze (2 goals) and Tristan Muyumba (1 goal) stand out

Aleksey Miranchuk scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.37

Saba Lobjanidze scored 2 goals in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.35

Tristan Muyumba scored 1 goal in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.12

Not nominated for Orlando City: Tiago (1G/1A)

Not nominated for Atlanta United: Emmanuel Latte Lath (2G/2A)

门将

Maxime Crépeau of Orlando City played in 12 games and kept 0 clean sheets

Lucas Hoyos of Atlanta United also played in 12 matches and kept 1 clean sheet

影响因素

Orlando City averages 1.62 home goals and concedes 1.5 home goals

Atlanta United concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away game

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。