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Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew - Minnesota United

05/02/2026, 11:30 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
Columbus Crew
1.5
Total xG
2.7
Minnesota United
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
CCMU

Columbus Crew

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.54倍)
-0.99
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.53
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.52
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.07
Wessam Abou Ali未进大名单 (5球, 1助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅89%可用)

Minnesota United

小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.20
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.05
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

29%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

71%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Home strength meets away weakness: Columbus Crew concedes only an average of 0.75 goals at home, while Minnesota United allows 1.86 goals away
  • Positive form trend for both teams: Columbus Crew is currently scoring more (Avg. 1.8 goals) than their season average, and Minnesota United also shows a positive trend with Avg. 1.4 goals
  • Mathematical analysis forecast: The calculations favor Columbus Crew with a home win probability of 43%
风险因素
  • High draw probability: The mathematical analysis predicts a draw with a probability of 29%
  • Close goal difference expected: Pipeline models predict 1.49 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.17 goals for Minnesota United
概述

Columbus Crew (8th place, 12 points) host Minnesota United (5th place, 17 points)

Major League Soccer match on May 3, 2026, 12:30 AM

Columbus Crew aims to climb up the league table

近期状态

Columbus Crew's recent form is WDLWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

This includes 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from their last 5 matches

The team recorded 2 consecutive wins recently

The form trend is positive, as Columbus Crew currently scores more often (Avg. 1.8 goals) than their season average (Avg. 1.6 goals)

Minnesota United's form in the last 5 games is WWWWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

This corresponds to 4 wins and 1 loss

Minnesota United's form trend is positive, as the team currently scores more often (Avg. 1.4 goals) than their season average (Avg. 1.2 goals)

统计数据

Columbus Crew scores an average of 1.4 goals per game and concedes 1.3 goals

Both teams scored in 7 out of 10 matches

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 6 out of 10 matches

At home, Columbus Crew averages 1.25 goals scored and concedes only 0.75 goals

Minnesota United scores an average of 1.1 goals per game and concedes 1.4 goals

The team kept 4 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 4 out of 10 matches

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 5 out of 10 matches

Away from home, Minnesota United averages 1.14 goals scored and concedes a concerning 1.86 goals

历史交锋

There has only been 1 head-to-head match between these two teams

This match ended in a draw

The last encounter took place on March 2, 2024, and ended 1:1

Both teams scored 1 goal each in their only direct comparison

关键球员

For Columbus Crew, Diego Rossi (Midfielder) is relevant with 4 goals and 1 assist this season and 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, with an average rating of 7.03 (season) and 7.22 (last 5)

Max Arfsten (Attacker) records 3 goals and 3 assists this season, plus 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games with an average rating of 7.27 (season)

Taha Habroune (Midfielder) showed a rising form in the last 5 games with 1 assist and an average rating of 7.69 (last 5)

For Minnesota United, Kelvin Yeboah (Attacker) stands out with 5 season goals, 2 of which were in the last 5 games

Tomás Chancalay (Attacker) contributed 1 goal and 4 assists this season, with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games

Anthony Markanich Jr. (Defender) scored 2 goals and 1 assist this season, including 1 goal in the last 5 games

门将

For Columbus Crew, Patrick Schulte is the goalkeeper, who kept 2 clean sheets this season

For Minnesota United, Drake Callender  is in goal and recorded 4 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Columbus Crew shows solid home strength with an average of 1.25 goals scored and only 0.75 goals conceded per home game

Minnesota United scores an average of 1.14 goals away but concedes a high 1.86 goals per away game

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