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Major League Soccer

New England - Nashville SC

05/13/2026, 11:30 PM

0 : 3
预期进球
New England
1.4
Total xG
2.6
Nashville SC
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
NENS

New England

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-1.08
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.52
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.07
Luca Langoni替补席 (2球, 6助攻)

Nashville SC

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.40
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-0.32
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.23
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
-0.17
Patrick Yazbek未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体2.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

30%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

70%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: New England has a 39% home win probability, a draw at 30%, and an away win at 31%
  • New England Home Strength: Averaging 1.88 goals scored and only 0.38 goals conceded per home game this season
  • Rising Form of Carles Gil: New England's midfielder shows a rising form trend with 4 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games
风险因素
  • Limited data availability for player duels and weather information
  • Nashville SC with only 3 days rest since their last match
概述

New England (2nd place, 22 points) host Nashville SC (1st place, 24 points) in the Major League Soccer on May 13, 2026, 11:30 PM

This is a top-of-the-table clash where New England aims to close the gap and Nashville SC seeks to extend their lead

近期状态

New England shows strong form with W-W-D-W-W

This translates to 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches

Nashville SC's recent form is W-W-W-D-D

They recorded 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games

New England won their last game, while Nashville SC drew

统计数据

New England scores an average of 1.82 goals per game and concedes 1.18 goals per game

At home, they are particularly strong, averaging 1.88 goals scored and only 0.38 goals conceded per home game

Nashville SC averages 2.09 goals scored per game and concedes only 0.73 goals

Away from home, Nashville SC scores an average of 2.50 goals and concedes 1.00 goal per game

New England has 3 clean sheets, while Nashville SC has 5 clean sheets

The mathematical analysis predicts 1.35 goals for New England and 1.20 goals for Nashville SC

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, New England secured 2 wins, Nashville SC also 2 wins, and there was 1 draw

Nashville SC scored 8 goals in these encounters, compared to New England's 6 goals

The last match was won by Nashville SC with a 4-1 scoreline on February 22, 2026

The historical head-to-head record is even

关键球员

Carles Gil is a vital midfielder for New England with 4 goals and 3 assists this season

His form trend is rising with 4 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games

Dor Turgeman in attack contributed 2 season goals and 4 assists

Defender Peyton Miller scored 3 season goals

For Nashville SC, Hany Mukhtar is a key midfielder with 3 goals and 4 assists this season

He has shown consistent performance with 1 goal and 4 assists in the last 5 matches

Forward Warren Madrigal scored 4 goals and provided 2 assists this season

Cristian Espinoza has 3 goals and 3 assists in the current season

门将

New England's goalkeeper, Matt Turner, has an average rating of 7.28 and 3 clean sheets this season

Brian Schwake, Nashville SC's goalkeeper, has an average rating of 6.87 and 5 clean sheets

影响因素

New England benefits from a strong home advantage, scoring an average of 1.88 goals and conceding only 0.38 goals per home game

Nashville SC also shows good form away from home, with 2.50 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded per away game

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