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Major League Soccer

Toronto - Inter Miami

05/09/2026, 05:00 PM

2 : 4
预期进球
Toronto
1.3
Total xG
2.5
Inter Miami
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

10%

1:0

9%

0:1

8%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
TORIM

Toronto

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.66倍)
-1.08
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.44
防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.10
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.05
Josh Sargent未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Richie Laryea未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
José Cifuentes未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
28%进球产出缺失 (仅74%可用)

Inter Miami

防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.64
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.16
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体2.2球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.68
+0.68
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

30%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

70%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Inter Miami's stronger season performance: As 3rd in the table (19 points), Miami is significantly ahead of Toronto (8th place, 14 points)
  • Inter Miami's offensive efficiency: The model calculates 1.21 expected away goals for Inter Miami
  • Toronto's persistent poor form: With 0 wins in the last 5 games (DDDLD), Toronto shows a weak performance
概述

Toronto host Inter Miami in a Major League Soccer match. The game is scheduled for May 9, 2026, 7:00 PM. Toronto are in 8th place with 14 points, while Inter Miami are in 3rd place with 19 points. Inter Miami aim to solidify their top position, while Toronto seeks to move away from the bottom half of the table.

近期状态

Toronto's form in their last five matches (all competitions) is DDDLD, with 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss. Their last match ended in a draw. Inter Miami's form is DWWDL, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Their last match ended in a loss. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Toronto averages 1.64 goals scored per game and concedes 1.82 goals per game. Both teams scored in 9 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 7 matches. In home games, Toronto averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded. Inter Miami averages 2.0 goals scored per game and 1.73 goals conceded per game. Both teams scored in 8 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 8 matches. Away from home, Inter Miami averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.43 goals conceded.

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Toronto has 0 wins, Inter Miami has 2 wins, and 2 matches ended in a draw. The goal difference is 3:6 in favor of Inter Miami. Their last encounter on September 27, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw. Inter Miami has shown recent dominance in direct confrontations.

关键球员

For Toronto, Dániel Sallói (4 goals, 2 assists), Kobe Franklin (2 goals, 1 assist), and Jonathan Osorio (0 goals, 2 assists) are important players. Dániel Sallói shows a stable form, Kobe Franklin a rising form. For Inter Miami, Lionel Messi (8 goals, 2 assists), Telasco Segovia (2 goals, 5 assists), and Germán Berterame (3 goals, 2 assists) stand out. Lionel Messi, Telasco Segovia, and Germán Berterame all show stable form.

门将

Goalkeeper Luka Gavran of Toronto has recorded 1 clean sheet this season. Dayne St. Clair, Inter Miami's goalkeeper, has recorded 2 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

Toronto averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded at home. Inter Miami averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.43 goals conceded away from home.

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