San Diego (7th place, 11 points) host Minnesota United (10th place, 8 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 12, 2026, 4:30 AM. The mathematical analysis sees San Diego as favorites with a win probability of 46% in this mid-table clash. An average of 1.70 goals is expected for San Diego and 1.30 goals for Minnesota United

San Diego has a recent form of WWDDL (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) in their last five matches. Their last game resulted in a 0-3 loss against SJ Earthquakes. Minnesota United's last five matches show a form of WLLDW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). They won their last game 2-1 against LA Galaxy. San Diego's goal production has recently slowed to 1.6 goals per game, compared to their season average of 2.2. Minnesota United's goal production is also declining, averaging 1.0 goals per game recently, against a season average of 1.2

San Diego averages 2.17 goals scored per game and concedes 1.33 goals. In home games, they are stronger offensively with an average of 2.25 goals and defensively solid with only 0.5 goals conceded. They have kept 3 clean sheets this season, 2 of which were at home. Minnesota United averages 1.0 goal scored per game and concedes 2.0 goals. Away from home, they score an average of 1.0 goal but concede a high 2.4 goals. Two clean sheets have been achieved this season, none of them away

In the three previous head-to-head matches, San Diego has secured two wins, while Minnesota United has won once. There have been no draws. San Diego scored a total of 6 goals, and Minnesota United scored 5 goals. San Diego won the last encounter 1-0 on November 25, 2025

For San Diego, Anders Dreyer (3 goals, 3 assists, average rating 7.73) and Onni Valakari (3 goals, 1 assist, average rating 7.12) are key attacking players. Jeppe Tverskov (1 assist, average rating 7.19) supports the midfield. For Minnesota United, Kelvin Yeboah (3 goals, average rating 6.96), Joaquín Pereyra (3 assists, average rating 7.35) and Tomás Chancalay (2 assists, average rating 6.79) are crucial

Duran Ferree, San Diego's goalkeeper, has an average rating of 7.24 and has achieved 3 clean sheets this season, 2 of which were in home games. Drake Callender of Minnesota United has an average rating of 6.75 and has recorded 2 clean sheets, none of which have been in away matches

San Diego demonstrates strong performance in home games with an average of 2.25 goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded per home game. Minnesota United, in contrast, shows defensive weaknesses away from home, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per away game