Major League Soccer
LA Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps
05/03/2026, 02:30 AM
预期进球
1.3
3.0
1.8
1:1
12%1:2
10%0:2
8%2:1
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
LA Galaxy
Vancouver Whitecaps
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
26%
平局
26%
客胜
48%
进球数
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
双重机会
主胜或平局
52%
客胜或平局
74%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
61%
否
39%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win with 48% probability for Vancouver Whitecaps
- Vancouver Whitecaps are in 2nd place in the league and show strong form with 4 wins in their last 5 games
- The Whitecaps have a significantly better offense (2.78 season goals) and defense (0.56 season goals conceded)
风险因素
- LA Galaxy are missing several key players: J. De Mello (Foot Injury) and E. Thommy (Thigh Muscle Strain) are important absences
- Vancouver Whitecaps' goal production in recent games, averaging 2.2 goals, is lower than their season average of 2.78 goals
- Vancouver Whitecaps show a declining form trend for key players such as Brian White, Sebastian Berhalter, and Mathías Laborda
概述
LA Galaxy (9th place, 12 points) host Vancouver Whitecaps (2nd place, 24 points) in Major League Soccer. The match will take place on May 3, 2026, 3:30 AM. The Whitecaps aim to defend their top position, while LA Galaxy are fighting for connection in the mid-table
近期状态
LA Galaxy's form in their last five games is LWDLW, including 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. They won their last match. Vancouver Whitecaps show stronger form in their last five outings with LWWWW, which corresponds to 4 wins and 1 loss. The Whitecaps have achieved four consecutive wins
统计数据
LA Galaxy averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per game this season. In home games, the average is 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded. Vancouver Whitecaps are offensively very strong with an average of 2.78 goals per game and defensively very stable with 0.56 goals conceded per game. Away from home, the Whitecaps scored 4 goals and conceded 1 goal in one game. For LA Galaxy, both teams scored in 9 games, for Vancouver Whitecaps in 3 games. More than 2.5 goals were scored in 8 LA Galaxy games and in 6 Vancouver games
历史交锋
In four previous head-to-head encounters, LA Galaxy dominates the record with 3 wins compared to 1 win for Vancouver Whitecaps. The goal difference stands at 11:5 in favor of LA Galaxy. The last meeting on July 5, 2025, ended with a 3:0 victory for LA Galaxy
关键球员
For LA Galaxy, Marco Reus (4 goals, 3 assists) and Gabriel Pec (1 goal, 3 assists) are important offensive players, though their form trend is declining. Joseph Paintsil (1 goal, 2 assists) shows stable form. For Vancouver Whitecaps, Brian White (8 goals), Sebastian Berhalter (3 goals, 4 assists), and Mathías Laborda (2 goals, 3 assists) are crucial players. However, several of these players show a declining form trend
门将
LA Galaxy's goalkeeper, J. Marcinkowski, has achieved 1 clean sheet this season and an average rating of 6.84. Yohei Takaoka, Vancouver Whitecaps' goalkeeper, has a significantly better record with 5 clean sheets this season and a rating of 6.90
影响因素
LA Galaxy averages 1.6 home goals scored per game and 1.2 goals conceded, indicating a moderate home advantage. The home crowd could therefore play a role