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Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake - San Diego

04/19/2026, 01:30 AM

4 : 2
预期进球
Real Salt Lake
1.9
Total xG
3.0
San Diego
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

3:1

6%

1:2

6%
xG 分解
RSLSD

Real Salt Lake

防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.63
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.12
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.04
Juan Manuel Sanabria替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
Aiden Hezarkhani替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

San Diego

小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.27
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.18
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 2 赛季平均)
-0.18
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.66
+0.66
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

53%

平局

25%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

47%

非平局

75%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • Real Salt Lake's strong home offense (Avg. 2.33 goals per home game) meets San Diego's vulnerable away defense (Avg. 3.0 goals conceded per away game)
  • Real Salt Lake shows a positive form trend with increasing goal production (2.4 in recent games compared to 2.0 season average), while San Diego's goal production is declining (1.4 compared to 2.0 season average)
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 53% probability
风险因素
  • San Diego concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away game
  • San Diego's goal production has been declining in recent games (1.4 goals) compared to their season average (2.0 goals)
  • San Diego is without the suspended C. Mcvey (Red Card) and injured goalkeeper P. Sisniega Fink (Back Injury)
概述

Real Salt Lake (4th place, 13 points) hosts San Diego (8th place, 11 points) in a Major League Soccer match. The game will be played on April 19, 2026, 2:30 AM. Real Salt Lake aims to consolidate its strong league position, while San Diego will try to climb the table

近期状态

Real Salt Lake shows strong form with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 matches (WWWDW). Their last result was a 3-1 win against Sporting KC. San Diego, on the other hand, has 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses from their last 5 games (WDDLL) and suffered two recent defeats, including a 1-2 against Minnesota United

统计数据

Real Salt Lake averages 2.0 goals scored per game and concedes 1.33 goals per game this season. In home games, they average 2.33 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded. 5 out of 6 games saw both teams score and over 2.5 total goals. San Diego also averages 2.0 goals scored per game and concedes 1.43 goals per game this season. Away from home, San Diego concedes an average of 3.0 goals per game. 5 out of 7 games had over 2.5 total goals

历史交锋

In the 3 direct encounters so far, both teams have secured one win each, and one match ended in a draw. The goal difference is even at 6:6. The last meeting on March 22, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw

关键球员

For Real Salt Lake, Zavier Gozo stands out with 2 goals and 2 assists, an average rating of 7.33, and a rising form trend. Sergi Solans has scored 3 goals in 5 games with stable form. Diego Luna recently scored 2 goals in 5 games. For San Diego, Marcus Ingvartsen (4 goals, 2 assists) and Anders Dreyer (3 goals, 3 assists) are the season's top scorers, both with a declining form trend. Onni Valakari has contributed 3 goals, also with declining form

门将

Real Salt Lake's goalkeeper, Rafael Cabral, has played 6 games this season and recorded 0 clean sheets. Duran Ferree, San Diego's goalkeeper, also featured 6 times and managed to keep 1 clean sheet

影响因素

Real Salt Lake shows stronger performance at home with an average of 2.33 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded

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