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Major League Soccer

Nashville SC - Charlotte

04/26/2026, 12:30 AM

4 : 2
预期进球
Nashville SC
2.2
Total xG
3.2
Charlotte
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

10%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

3:1

7%

3:0

7%
xG 分解
NSCHA

Nashville SC

防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-1.36
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.51倍)
+0.97
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.75
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
-0.13
全员可用

Charlotte

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.67倍)
-0.70
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.52
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.12
Idan Toklomati替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
Wilfried Zaha替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

60%

平局

22%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

41%

Under 3.5

59%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

40%

非平局

78%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: Nashville SC is the clear favorite with a 61% home win probability
  • Strong Home Defense: Nashville SC boasts an outstanding home defense with an average of 0.33 goals conceded per home game
  • Weak Away Defense: Charlotte concedes an average of 4.5 goals per game when playing away
风险因素
  • Charlotte's improved offense: Currently 2.4 goals per game in recent matches, compared to 2.0 season average
  • Nashville's slightly declining goal production: Currently 2.0 goals per game in recent matches, compared to 2.4 season average
概述

Nashville SC (1st place, 19 points) host Charlotte (5th place, 14 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 26, 2026, 1:30 AM. Nashville SC holds a leading position in the table and is a clear favorite according to mathematical predictions, with a home win probability of 61%

近期状态

Nashville SC displays excellent form with a record of WWLWW (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss) in their last five matches. They have won their last two games. Charlotte has a form of WWLWL (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses), with their last match being a defeat. Nashville SC scored 10 goals and conceded 2 in their last five, while Charlotte scored 12 goals and conceded 8.

统计数据

Nashville SC averages 2.13 goals scored per game and concedes only 0.5 goals. They kept 4 clean sheets and had both teams score in 3 matches. At home, Nashville SC is particularly strong, averaging 2.0 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded per home game. Charlotte averages 1.78 goals per game but concedes 1.56 goals on average. Away from home, Charlotte averages 2.0 goals scored per game, but also conceded an average of 4.5 goals. Charlotte has seen both teams score in 7 matches and over 2.5 goals in 7 matches.

历史交锋

In 5 previous head-to-head matches, Nashville SC secured 3 wins, and Charlotte claimed 2 wins, with no draws. Nashville SC scored 7 goals in these encounters, while Charlotte scored 6. The last meeting on April 11, 2026, resulted in a 2-1 victory for Nashville SC away at Charlotte. Nashville SC has been dominant in recent matchups.

关键球员

For Nashville SC, Cristian Espinoza is key with 3 goals and 2 assists, averaging a 7.46 season rating, Hany Mukhtar has 2 goals and 3 assists with a 7.18 rating, and Patrick Yazbek contributed 1 goal and 3 assists with a 7.14 rating. For Charlotte, Pep Biel stands out with 4 goals and 4 assists, averaging a 7.25 rating, Archie Goodwin has 3 goals and 0 assists with a 6.89 rating, and Kerwin Vargas has 2 goals and 0 assists with a 6.78 rating. Not nominated: Idan Toklomati (3G/1A), Wilfried Zaha (2G/2A) from Charlotte.

门将

Nashville SC's goalkeeper Brian Schwake has made 8 appearances. The Nashville SC team recorded 4 clean sheets this season. For Charlotte, Kristijan Kahlina played in 9 matches. His team achieved 1 clean sheet this season.

影响因素

Nashville SC benefits from a strong home advantage, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded per home game this season.

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