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Major League Soccer

CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union

04/11/2026, 06:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
CF Montréal
1.8
Total xG
3.4
Philadelphia Union
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

5%
xG 分解
CMPU

CF Montréal

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.89
防守不足 (场均失2.8球 vs 联赛平均2球)
+0.85
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.70
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.07
全员可用

Philadelphia Union

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.38倍)
+1.43
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.98
防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.68
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
+0.04
37%进球产出缺失 (仅65%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.63
+0.63
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

25%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

66%

Under 2.5

34%

Over 3.5

44%

Under 3.5

56%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

75%

双方进球

68%

32%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for CF Montréal with a 42% probability
  • Philadelphia Union is in a deep crisis, having lost all 6 season games and earned 0 points
  • CF Montréal's improved offensive form is evident in their current average of 1.4 goals, compared to 1.2 goals season average
风险因素
  • Only 65% of Philadelphia Union's usual starting XI strength is available
  • CF Montréal concedes an average of 2.83 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities
  • Philadelphia Union concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
概述

CF Montréal (13th place, 3 points) host Philadelphia Union (15th place, 0 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on April 11, 2026, 2:30 PM. Both teams are battling at the bottom of the table for crucial points and to catch up.

近期状态

CF Montréal shows a form of LWLLL with one win and four losses from their last five games. The team has recently suffered three consecutive losses. Philadelphia Union is currently in worse condition with a form of LLLLL, which corresponds to zero wins, zero draws, and five losses. They recorded five consecutive losses. CF Montréal is currently scoring more frequently (averaging 1.4 goals) than their season average (1.2 goals). Philadelphia Union is currently scoring more frequently (averaging 0.8 goals) than their season average (0.7 goals).

统计数据

CF Montréal scores an average of 1.17 goals per game and concedes 2.83 goals per game. The team recorded one clean sheet and all six games had over 2.5 goals. Philadelphia Union scores an average of 0.67 goals and concedes 1.83 goals per game. They kept no clean sheets and four out of six games had over 2.5 goals. Philadelphia Union concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game. CF Montréal has not played any home games this season, so all season statistics are based on away games.

历史交锋

In the four past head-to-head matches, CF Montréal secured one win, while Philadelphia Union won two games. One match ended in a draw. The goal difference is balanced at 8:8 goals. The last encounter was won by Philadelphia Union away with 2:1 on July 16, 2025. Philadelphia Union has been the more dominant team in recent direct encounters.

关键球员

For CF Montréal, Prince Owusu stands out with 4 goals and 1 assist, and an average rating of 7.17, whose form is rising. Wikelman José Carmona Torres contributed 3 goals and 1 assist, with a rating of 7.18. Iván Jaime has 1 assist and a rating of 7.04. For Philadelphia Union, Milan Iloski is an important attacking player with 1 goal and a rating of 6.82. Indiana Vassilev also scored 1 goal and has a rating of 6.66. Frankie Westfield, a defender, provided 1 assist and achieved a rating of 7.12.

门将

For CF Montréal, Thomas Guilier is in goal, having kept one clean sheet this season. For Philadelphia Union, Andre Blake is the goalkeeper, who has not recorded any clean sheets this season and has an average rating of 6.77. In his last five games, his average rating was 6.84.

影响因素

CF Montréal has not played a home game this season. There is no data available regarding venue influences, weather conditions, or specific pitch surface.

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