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Major League Soccer

Charlotte - New England

05/23/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Charlotte
1.8
Total xG
2.9
New England
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
CHANE

Charlotte

防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.14
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.11
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.03
全员可用

New England

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.56
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.32
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
-0.15
Luca Langoni替补席 (3球, 6助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.75
+0.75
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

26%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

74%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Charlotte with a probability of 51%
  • Charlotte shows strong defensive performance at home, conceding an average of 0.9 goals per game
  • New England has a very vulnerable away defense, conceding an average of 3.33 goals per away game
风险因素
  • Charlotte's recent goal production is declining, with 1.4 goals per game compared to the season average of 1.8 goals
  • New England's recent goal production is declining, with 1.2 goals per game compared to the season average of 1.7 goals
概述

Charlotte (7th place, 18 points) hosts New England (3rd place, 25 points) in a Major League Soccer match on May 23, 2026, 7:30 PM. New England is ahead of Charlotte in the table, with Charlotte looking to use their home advantage to close the gap.

近期状态

Charlotte's form in the last five league matches: LLDLW (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). New England's form in the last five matches: DWWLW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Charlotte secured a 3-1 home win against Toronto in their last match, but previously suffered three losses and one draw. New England won two of their last three matches, including a 2-1 victory against Minnesota United.

统计数据

Charlotte has an average of 1.64 goals scored per game and also conceded 1.64 goals per game. At home, they are more offensive with an average of 1.7 goals and more solid defensively with 0.9 goals conceded. New England scores an average of 1.69 goals per game and concedes 1.31 goals. Away from home, New England scores an average of 1.67 goals but concedes a high 3.33 goals per game. Charlotte has recorded 1 clean sheet this season, while New England has 3. Both teams scored in 10 of Charlotte's games and 8 of New England's games. Charlotte had 10 matches with over 2.5 goals, and New England had 9.

历史交锋

In 5 direct encounters, Charlotte has 2 wins and New England has 3 wins, with no draws. Charlotte scored a total of 6 goals, New England 4. The last meeting on May 2, 2026, ended in a 1-0 victory for New England. New England has been the more dominant side in recent head-to-head matches.

关键球员

For Charlotte, key starting players include midfielder Pep Biel (7 goals, 4 assists, avg 7.27 rating, stable form), attacker Idan Toklomati (4 goals, 1 assist, avg 6.72 rating, stable form), and attacker Wilfried Zaha (3 goals, 2 assists, avg 7.13 rating, declining form). For New England, key players are midfielder Carles Gil (5 goals, 3 assists, avg 7.39 rating, rising form) and attacker Dor Turgeman (2 goals, 5 assists, avg 6.93 rating, stable form). Luca Langoni is not nominated (3 goals, 6 assists).

门将

For Charlotte, Kristijan Kahlina is in goal, achieving 1 clean sheet in 14 appearances with an average rating of 7.03. New England's goalkeeper is Matt Turner, who has 3 clean sheets in 13 appearances and an average rating of 7.2.

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