CF Montréal (11th place, 13 points) host Chicago Fire (4th place, 20 points) in a Major League Soccer match on May 16, 2026, 8:30 PM UTC. The home team aims to improve its standing, while Chicago Fire seeks to defend its position in the upper half of the table. The mathematical analysis gives a slightly higher probability of a home win at 39%, with an away win at 34% and a draw at 27%

CF Montréal's form in the last five games is WWLWD, consisting of three wins, one draw, and one loss. Their last match ended in a draw. Chicago Fire's form over the last five games is DWLLW, with two wins, one draw, and two losses. Their last game was a win. According to advanced analysis, CF Montréal is currently scoring more frequently (avg. 2.0 goals) than their season average (avg. 1.5 goals) and shows a positive form trend. Chicago Fire is also scoring more frequently (avg. 2.8 goals) than their season average (avg. 2.1 goals) and has a positive goal-scoring form trend

CF Montréal has scored an average of 1.5 goals per game this season and conceded 2.08 goals. At home, they score an average of 1.43 goals and concede only 0.71 goals. They kept three clean sheets and both teams scored in six matches. Chicago Fire has averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded this season. Away from home, they score an average of 1.8 goals and concede 1.4 goals. They have achieved five clean sheets, and both teams scored in seven of their matches. Overall, a high number of goals is expected, with an 81% probability for over 1.5 goals and 57% for over 2.5 goals

In the five previous head-to-head matches between CF Montréal and Chicago Fire, CF Montréal secured one win. Chicago Fire won three matches, and one game ended in a draw. The goal difference in these encounters is 6:10 in favor of Chicago Fire. The last match on February 28, 2026, resulted in a 0:3 away victory for Chicago Fire, highlighting Chicago Fire's recent dominance

For CF Montréal, Prince Owusu is a key offensive player with 6 goals and 5 assists this season, and his form is stable. Matty Longstaff in midfield has contributed 2 goals and 3 assists and shows a rising form curve. Wikelman José Carmona Torres, also in midfield, scored 4 goals and 1 assist, maintaining stable form. For Chicago Fire, Hugo Cuypers stands out in attack with 12 seasonal goals, although his recent form is slightly declining. Philip Zinckernagel, an attacker, provided 4 goals and 5 assists and is in rising form. Maren Haile-Selassie in midfield contributed 3 goals and 1 assist and also shows rising form

CF Montréal's goalkeeper is Thomas Gillier. The home team has achieved three clean sheets this season. Chicago Fire's goalkeeper is Chris Brady. The away team has kept five clean sheets this season

CF Montréal has a strong home defense, conceding an average of 0.71 goals per game. Chicago Fire shows a solid away offense with an average of 1.8 goals per game