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Major League Soccer

LA Galaxy - Real Salt Lake

04/26/2026, 11:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
LA Galaxy
1.5
Total xG
2.8
Real Salt Lake
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
LGRSL

LA Galaxy

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.71
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.37
防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.30
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第6位, 相差7位)
-0.11
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.01
João Klauss未进大名单 (5球, 0助攻)
33%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)

Real Salt Lake

小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.19
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.06
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第13位, 相差7位)
+0.04
Sergi Solans替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
Morgan Guilavogui替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
24%进球产出缺失 (仅83%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.3球 vs 总体2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.73
+0.73
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

28%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

72%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 41% probability and 1.51 expected home goals
  • Real Salt Lake shows a strong offense (averaging 2.00 goals per game, 7.2 shots on target in the last 5 games), while LA Galaxy concedes 1.67 goals per game
  • The recent head-to-head record shows LA Galaxy's dominance with 2 wins in 4 matches and their last 2:0 victory
风险因素
  • Real Salt Lake concedes an average of 2.50 goals per away game
  • Sergi Solans and Morgan Guilavogui are missing for Real Salt Lake, leaving only 83% of the usual goal threat available
  • LA Galaxy and Real Salt Lake both had only 3 days of rest since their last match
概述

LA Galaxy (13th place, 9 points) host Real Salt Lake (6th place, 16 points)

Major League Soccer match on April 26, 2026, 4:00 PM

The hosts are fighting to catch up to the playoff spots, while the visitors aim to solidify their position in the upper half of the table

近期状态

LA Galaxy's form is "DLWDL" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The hosts recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

Their last result was a loss

Real Salt Lake's form is "WDWWL"

The visitors achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 games

Their last match was also a loss

Real Salt Lake shows stronger recent form with more wins

统计数据

LA Galaxy scores an average of 1.44 goals per season and concedes 1.67 goals

Real Salt Lake shows a stronger offense with an average of 2.00 goals per game, but concedes 1.50 goals

At home, LA Galaxy scores 1.50 goals and concedes 1.25 goals

Real Salt Lake is strong offensively away from home, scoring an average of 2.50 goals but also conceding 2.50 goals

Both teams scored in 8 of LA Galaxy's games, and in 6 of Real Salt Lake's games

7 of LA Galaxy's games and 6 of Real Salt Lake's games ended with over 2.5 goals

LA Galaxy kept 1 clean sheet, while Real Salt Lake kept 0 clean sheets

历史交锋

The teams met in 4 head-to-head matches

LA Galaxy won 2 of these encounters, Real Salt Lake won 1, and there was 1 draw

The goal difference of 5:4 slightly favors LA Galaxy

The last direct encounter on June 1, 2025, was won by LA Galaxy with a score of 2:0

LA Galaxy has been the more dominant team in recent matchups

关键球员

For LA Galaxy, Marco Reus (2 goals, 3 assists, average rating 7.27), Gabriel Pec (1 goal, 3 assists, average rating 7.37), and Joseph Paintsil (1 goal, 2 assists, average rating 7.16) are key players

Reus shows a declining form trend, while Pec and Paintsil are stable

For Real Salt Lake, Zavier Gozo (2 goals, 3 assists, average rating 7.31), Diego Luna (2 goals, 1 assist, average rating 7.47), and Noel Caliskan (0 goals, 2 assists, average rating 7.12) are notable

Gozo shows a rising form trend, while Luna and Caliskan are stable

门将

J. Marcinkowski is the goalkeeper for LA Galaxy and has an average rating of 6.65 in 5 season appearances

LA Galaxy has kept 1 clean sheet this season

Rafael Cabral is the goalkeeper for Real Salt Lake and has an average rating of 6.92 in 8 season appearances

Real Salt Lake has kept 0 clean sheets this season

影响因素

LA Galaxy scored 6 goals at home and conceded 5 goals in 4 games

Real Salt Lake scored 5 goals away and conceded 5 goals in 2 games

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