Major League Soccer
Charlotte - Toronto
05/16/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.7
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
9%1:2
6%2:2
5%xG 分解
Charlotte
Toronto
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
28%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Home strength and dominance: Charlotte is defensively strong at home and has won the last 3 head-to-head matches
- Form curve divergence: Toronto shows a recent positive trend in goal production, while Charlotte stagnates
- Offensive matchup: The mathematical analysis predicts 1.59 expected goals for Charlotte compared to 1.09 for Toronto
风险因素
- Short recovery time: Charlotte had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Goal-scoring efficiency: Charlotte averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Offensive absences: For Toronto, Josh Sargent (2G/1A) and José Cifuentes (1G/1A) are not in the lineup, reducing the usual starting XI strength to 95%
概述
Charlotte (9th place, 15 points) host Toronto (10th place, 14 points) in a Major League Soccer match. The game takes place on May 16, 2026, at 7:30 PM. Both teams are in the mid-table, looking to distance themselves from the relegation zone.
近期状态
Charlotte's form across all competitions is LLLDL. In their last 5 games, they recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. Their last result was a loss. Toronto's form across all competitions is DDLDL. In their last 5 games, they have 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. Their last result was a loss.
统计数据
Charlotte averaged 1.54 goals scored per game this season and conceded 1.69 goals. At home, they are defensively stronger, conceding an average of 0.89 goals per game. Toronto has a season average of 1.67 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per game. Away from home, they conceded an average of 3.0 goals per game. Charlotte kept 1 clean sheet in 13 games, while Toronto also managed 1 clean sheet in 12 games.
历史交锋
Charlotte has the upper hand in 4 head-to-head matches against Toronto. Charlotte won 3 games, while Toronto secured 1 victory, with no draws. Charlotte scored a total of 7 goals, Toronto 3. The last encounter saw Charlotte win 2-0 on July 26, 2025, highlighting the home team's recent dominance.
关键球员
For Charlotte, Pep Biel (6 goals, 4 assists, Avg Rating 7.19), Idan Toklomati (4 goals, 1 assist, Avg Rating 6.73), and Wilfried Zaha (2 goals, 2 assists, Avg Rating 7.06) are key players. For Toronto, Dániel Sallói (4 goals, 3 assists, Avg Rating 6.98), Kobe Franklin (2 goals, 2 assists, Avg Rating 6.58), and Emilio Aristizábal (3 goals, 0 assists, Avg Rating 6.76) are crucial to watch.
门将
Charlotte relies on goalkeeper Kristijan Kahlina, who has recorded 1 clean sheet this season. For Toronto, Luka Gavran is in goal, also achieving 1 clean sheet this season.
影响因素
Charlotte has performed well in home games, scoring an average of 1.56 goals and conceding only 0.89 goals per match. Toronto, on the other hand, conceded an average of 3.0 goals per away game, indicating a defensive weakness on the road. No data on venue history or weather influences is available.