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Major League Soccer

Toronto - SJ Earthquakes

05/02/2026, 05:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Toronto
1.4
Total xG
2.7
SJ Earthquakes
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
TORSE

Toronto

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.69倍)
-1.08
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.46
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.15
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.15
防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均2球)
-0.07
Josh Sargent替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Richie Laryea未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
José Cifuentes替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
35%进球产出缺失 (仅67%可用)

SJ Earthquakes

防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.66
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3.6球)
+0.33
状态上升 (3.6 vs 2.5 赛季平均)
+0.33
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.27
Timo Werner替补席 (4球, 3助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.4球 vs 总体2.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.73
+0.73
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

29%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

71%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Strong Form: SJ Earthquakes are league leaders and won their last 5 games consecutively
  • Defensive Stability: SJ Earthquakes boast an impressive seasonal defense with an average of only 0.6 goals conceded
  • Tactical Superiority: SJ Earthquakes averaged 7.4 shots on target in their last 5 games, compared to Toronto's 5.0
风险因素
  • Reduced offensive strength for Toronto, as Josh Sargent (2G/1A), Richie Laryea (2G/1A), and José Cifuentes (1G/1A) are not in the squad, accounting for 68% of the team's usual goal threat
  • Toronto's defensive vulnerability, with an average of 2.2 goals conceded in their last 5 games compared to the season average of 1.9 goals conceded
  • SJ Earthquakes' goalkeeper Daniel's form shows a declining trend (-0.36 delta)
概述

Toronto (6th place, 13 points) hosts SJ Earthquakes (1st place, 27 points) in a Major League Soccer match

The game is scheduled for May 2, 2026, 6:00 PM

The visitors from San Jose lead the league, while Toronto is in mid-table

近期状态

Toronto's form in the last 5 games is WDDDL

This translates to 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss

SJ Earthquakes show a perfect form of WWWWW

They won all of their last 5 games

Toronto recently lost 1-2 to Atlanta United, while SJ Earthquakes won 3-2 against St. Louis City

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Toronto scores an average of 1.7 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.9 goals this season

At home, these values slightly improve to 1.75 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded per home game

SJ Earthquakes are stronger offensively with 2.5 goals per game and very stable defensively with only 0.6 goals conceded on average

Away from home, the Earthquakes score 2.4 goals and concede 0.8 goals per game

Toronto played with both teams scoring in 8 of 10 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 7 matches

SJ Earthquakes had both teams scoring in 4 of 10 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 6 matches

历史交锋

No head-to-head data between Toronto and SJ Earthquakes is available in the provided dataset

关键球员

For Toronto, Dániel Sallói (3 goals, 2 assists, avg 6.93 rating) and Kobe Franklin (2 goals, 1 assist, avg 6.57 rating) are important offensive players in the last 5 games

Alonso Coello (0 goals, 2 assists, avg 7.22 rating) is a key midfielder

For SJ Earthquakes, Preston Judd (6 goals, 2 assists, avg 7.17 rating) stands out

Ousseni Bouda (5 goals, 1 assist, avg 7.10 rating) also contributes to goal threat

Niko Tsakiris (2 goals, 3 assists, avg 7.64 rating) is a key player in midfield

门将

Goalkeeper Luka Gavran from Toronto has kept 1 clean sheet this season

Daniel, the goalkeeper for SJ Earthquakes, has kept his net clean in 5 games

影响因素

Toronto shows solid home strength with an average of 1.75 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded at home

SJ Earthquakes are very strong away from home with 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded

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