🇺🇸

Major League Soccer

DC United - Chicago Fire

05/13/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
DC United
1.6
Total xG
3.0
Chicago Fire
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
DUCF

DC United

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.69倍)
-0.66
状态上升 (2.8 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.38
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.36
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.21
Silvan Hefti未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)

Chicago Fire

小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.20
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.12
Maren Haile-Selassie替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.4球 vs 总体2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

27%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

73%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • Tactical contrast: DC United's counter-attacking style (avg 36% possession) meets Chicago Fire's possession-based approach (avg 56% possession) in recent matches
  • Form trend: DC United is unbeaten in its last 5 matches, while Chicago Fire has suffered two consecutive losses recently
  • Offensive efficiency: Chicago Fire has a higher season average of 1.82 goals per game and scores 2.0 goals in away games, compared to DC United's 1.25 home goals
风险因素
  • DC United has only 3 days rest since their last match
  • Chicago Fire concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
概述

DC United (5th place, 16 points) host Chicago Fire (4th place, 17 points) in Major League Soccer. The match will take place on May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM. Both teams are closely ranked in the upper half of the table.

近期状态

DC United shows stable form with 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 5 games (Form: DDWWD). Their last match ended in a draw. Chicago Fire has a form of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses (Form: WDWLL). Chicago Fire lost their last two consecutive matches.

统计数据

DC United scores an average of 1.25 home goals per game and concedes an average of 2.0 home goals. Chicago Fire scores an average of 2.0 away goals per game and also concedes 2.0 goals per away game. Over the entire season, DC United averages 1.25 goals scored per game and concedes 1.42 goals. Chicago Fire is stronger offensively with an average of 1.82 goals per game and concedes 1.27 goals. The mathematical analysis predicts a 62% probability for both teams to score and a 58% probability for over 2.5 goals in the match.

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, DC United secured 2 wins, Chicago Fire had 1 win, and there were 2 draws. DC United scored 8 goals in these encounters, while Chicago Fire scored 12 goals. The last direct duel on March 15, 2026, saw DC United win 2-1 away against Chicago Fire. Notably, Chicago Fire also achieved a 7-1 home victory against DC United on June 7, 2025.

关键球员

For DC United, Tai Baribo with 6 season goals (3 in last 5 games) and Louis Munteanu with 4 season goals (all 4 in last 5 games) show rising form. Jackson Hopkins contributed 2 goals and 2 assists this season, with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games. For Chicago Fire, Hugo Cuypers stands out with 10 season goals, 6 of which were in the last 5 games. Philip Zinckernagel impressed with 4 goals and 4 assists this season, showing rising form with 3 goals and 3 assists in the last 5 games. Jonathan Bamba has scored 2 goals and provided 2 assists this season, with 2 assists in the last 5 games.

门将

Sean Johnson is the goalkeeper for DC United, recording 4 clean sheets in 12 appearances. Chris Brady guarded Chicago Fire's goal in 11 appearances, achieving 5 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

DC United conceded an average of 2.0 goals in home games. Chicago Fire scored an average of 2.0 goals in away games and also conceded 2.0 goals per away game. No weather data available.

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。