Los Angeles FC (3rd place, 21 points) host Houston Dynamo (9th place, 15 points) in Major League Soccer. The match takes place on May 11, 2026, 1:00 AM. Los Angeles FC aims to solidify its strong table position, while Houston Dynamo needs points to climb. The mathematical analysis identifies Los Angeles FC as favorites with a 42% win probability

Los Angeles FC shows a form of LLDWD, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five games. They recently drew 2-2 against San Diego, followed by a 1-0 win against Minnesota United and a 0-0 draw against Colorado Rapids. Houston Dynamo's form is LWWLW, which translates to three wins and two losses in their last five matches. They won their last game 1-0 against Colorado Rapids, and prior to that, 1-0 against San Diego and Orlando City

Los Angeles FC averages 1.73 goals scored per game and concedes 0.73 goals. In home games, their average is 1.62 goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded. They kept eight clean sheets. Houston Dynamo averages 1.3 goals per game and 1.8 goals conceded. Away from home, their defense is more vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per away game, while scoring 1.2 goals. Overall, Los Angeles FC's games saw over 2.5 goals five times, and Houston Dynamo's games four times. Both teams scored in three of Los Angeles FC's matches and four of Houston Dynamo's matches

In the five previous head-to-head encounters, the record is balanced: Los Angeles FC and Houston Dynamo each won two games, with one match ending in a draw. Los Angeles FC scored four goals in these meetings, while Houston Dynamo registered three goals. The last confrontation on March 1, 2026, saw Los Angeles FC win away with a 2-0 scoreline

For Los Angeles FC, Heung-min Son is in focus with seven season assists and a current rating of 7.19, although his form has recently declined. David Martínez scored three season goals, including one in the last five games, but also shows a drop in form. Stephen Eustaquio is an important midfielder with one season goal and one assist, maintaining stable form. Denis Bouanga (5 goals, 1 assist) and Mathieu Choinière (2 goals, 1 assist) are not nominated for this game. For Houston Dynamo, Guilherme stands out with five season goals and four assists, despite a slight dip in form. Lawrence Ennali scored twice in the last five games and shows stable form. Jack McGlynn is a key midfielder with two season assists

Hugo Lloris, the goalkeeper for Los Angeles FC, has made ten appearances this season and has an average rating of 7.11. He kept eight clean sheets. Jonathan Bond, Houston Dynamo's goalkeeper, also played ten times, with an average rating of 6.8. He kept three clean sheets

Los Angeles FC benefits from a significant home advantage, as they score an average of 1.62 goals at home and concede only 0.5 goals. Houston Dynamo, on the other hand, appears vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per away game