Major League Soccer
Cincinnati - Orlando City
05/23/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
2.1
3.4
1.3
1:1
10%2:1
10%2:0
7%3:1
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Cincinnati
Orlando City
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
54%
平局
24%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
66%
Under 2.5
34%
Over 3.5
44%
Under 3.5
56%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
46%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
65%
否
35%
关键因素
- Cincinnati's offensive strength: The team currently scores more often (2.6 goals) than their season average (2.1 goals), indicating a positive form trend
- Orlando's extreme away weakness: With an average of 5.0 goals conceded per away game, Orlando City shows significant defensive problems on the road
- Pipeline's home advantage forecast: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 54% probability and 2.07 expected home goals
风险因素
- Cincinnati's defensive vulnerability: The team concedes an average of 2.5 goals per game
- High risk for Over 2.5 goals: The mathematical analysis shows a 66% probability for over 2.5 goals in the match
概述
Cincinnati (9th place, 17 points) host Orlando City (11th place, 14 points) in Major League Soccer
The match takes place on May 24, 2026, 1:30 AM
Both teams are in the mid-table standings
近期状态
Cincinnati's form across all competitions is WWDLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The team recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
Their last game ended in a draw
Orlando City's form across all competitions is LWLWD
The team achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
Orlando City also drew their most recent game
统计数据
Cincinnati shows offensive strength this season with an average of 2.14 goals scored per game, while their defense is vulnerable with 2.5 goals conceded per game
At home, Cincinnati scores an average of 2.0 goals and concedes 1.71 goals
Orlando City scores an average of 1.5 goals and concedes an alarming 2.71 goals per game
Orlando City's away numbers are particularly weak with 1.4 goals scored and 5.0 goals conceded per game
Cincinnati kept 2 clean sheets, while Orlando City has none
Both teams scored in 10 of Cincinnati's 14 games, and in 9 of Orlando City's 14 games
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 9 of Cincinnati's games and 10 of Orlando City's games
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches between these teams, Cincinnati dominated with 2 wins compared to Orlando City's 1 win
One match ended in a draw
The goal difference is level at 5:5
The last encounter on September 28, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw
关键球员
Key players for Cincinnati include Kévin Denkey, who scored 8 goals and 2 assists in 13 appearances and shows a stable form trend
Midfielder Evander impressed with 7 goals and 3 assists in 13 games with rising form
Pavel Bucha contributed 2 goals and 3 assists in 13 games
For Orlando City, Martín Ojeda is crucial with 9 goals in 14 games and stable form
Adrián Marín is an important defender with 3 assists in 12 games
Griffin Dorsey shows rising form with 2 goals in 11 games
门将
Roman Celentano is Cincinnati's goalkeeper with a season average rating of 6.81 and 2 clean sheets
Orlando City's goalkeeper Maxime Crépeau has a season average rating of 6.74 and has not kept a clean sheet this season
影响因素
Cincinnati scores an average of 2.0 goals at home and concedes 1.71 goals
Orlando City shows high vulnerability away from home with an average of 5.0 goals conceded per game