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Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union - Columbus Crew

05/16/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Philadelphia Union
1.4
Total xG
3.0
Columbus Crew
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

2:2

6%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
PUCC

Philadelphia Union

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-1.04
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.55
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.17
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.07
15%进球产出缺失 (仅76%可用)

Columbus Crew

防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.49
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.2倍)
+0.47
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
-0.23
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.03
Taha Habroune替补席 (1球, 2助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.77
+0.77
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

27%

客胜

39%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

61%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

73%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis shows an away win probability of 39% for Columbus Crew
  • Columbus Crew dominates head-to-head matches, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters
  • Philadelphia Union shows a positive attacking form with an average of 1.8 goals recently, according to advanced statistics
风险因素
  • Philadelphia Union had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Columbus Crew had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Columbus Crew concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
概述

Philadelphia Union (15th place, 6 points) hosts Columbus Crew (13th place, 12 points) at Subaru Park

Major League Soccer match on May 17, 2026, 1:30 AM

Both teams are in the lower half of the league table

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Philadelphia Union's form in the last five games is DLDLL

This includes 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses

The last result was a loss

Columbus Crew shows a form of WWLLL

This comprises 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses

The last result was a loss

According to advanced statistics, Philadelphia Union is currently scoring more frequently (Avg. 1.8 goals) than their season average (Avg. 1.2 goals)

Columbus Crew scores consistently with an average of 1.6 goals per game

统计数据

Philadelphia Union has scored an average of 1.0 goals per game this season and conceded 1.77 goals

In home games, the team scored 1.0 goals and conceded 2.5 goals

Columbus Crew averages 1.38 goals scored per game and conceded 1.69 goals

In away games, Columbus Crew scored 1.38 goals and conceded 2.0 goals

Philadelphia Union kept 2 clean sheets, Columbus Crew also kept 2 clean sheets

For Philadelphia Union, 8 games ended with both teams scoring (BTTS)

For Columbus Crew, 9 games ended with both teams scoring (BTTS)

8 Philadelphia Union games had over 2.5 goals

9 Columbus Crew games had over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

There have been 5 head-to-head matches in total

Columbus Crew won 4 of these games, Philadelphia Union none

One match ended in a draw

The goal difference is 4:9 in favor of Columbus Crew

The last encounter on April 25, 2026, resulted in a 0:2 away win for Columbus Crew

Columbus Crew has been the dominant team in recent matchups

关键球员

For Philadelphia Union, Milan Iloski is an important attacker with 3 season goals and 1 assist

Ben Bender shows a rising form curve with 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 2 games

Nathan Harriel, a defender, contributed with 1 goal and 1 assist to the offense

On the side of Columbus Crew, Max Arfsten is a key player with 4 season goals and 4 assists

Diego Rossi scored 5 season goals and 1 assist

Hugo Picard recorded 1 season goal and 2 assists with rising form

门将

Andre Blake is the goalkeeper for Philadelphia Union and has recorded 2 clean sheets this season

Patrick Schulte guards the goal for Columbus Crew and also achieved 2 clean sheets

影响因素

Philadelphia Union has scored an average of 1.0 goals at home and conceded 2.5 goals

Columbus Crew has scored an average of 1.38 goals away and conceded 2.0 goals

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