比赛报告 →
Real Salt Lake – SJ Earthquakes1 : 1
模型为何这样判断
Real Salt Lake
1.77
总 xG
3.11
SJ Earthquakes
1.34
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Real Salt Lake | SJ Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|
| 高进球联赛 (场均3.3球) | +0.84 | +0.84 |
| 防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.1球) | +0.36 | |
| 最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球) | −0.20 | |
| 状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.5 赛季平均) | −0.20 | |
| 排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第4位, 相差7位) | −0.13 | |
| 最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球) | +0.04 | |
| 排名优势 (第4位 vs 第11位, 相差7位) | +0.04 | |
| Aiden Hezarkhani替补席 (3球, 0助攻) | ||
| Niko Tsakiris未进大名单 (3球, 7助攻) | ||
| Daniel Munie替补席 (5球, 2助攻) | ||
| Eduard Löwen替补席 (1球, 1助攻) | ||
| 客场表现不佳 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.8球) |
关键因素
- Form contrast: SJ Earthquakes are unbeaten in 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), while Real Salt Lake lost 4 of their last 5 games
- Away attacking strength: SJ Earthquakes average 1.79 goals per away match
- Model prediction: Calculations indicate a 46% home win probability and a 63% chance of both teams scoring
风险
- Real Salt Lake averaged 0.8 goals per match recently, below their season average of 1.46
- SJ Earthquakes play with 4 days of rest since their last match
- D. Luna is sidelined for the hosts due to a knee injury (5 season goals)
全部概率
赛果
Real Salt Lake46%
平局26%
SJ Earthquakes28%
进球
大于 1.583%
小于 1.517%
大于 2.560%
小于 2.540%
大于 3.538%
小于 3.562%
双重机会
Real Salt Lake或平局72%
SJ Earthquakes或平局54%
非平局74%
双方均进球
是63%
否37%
最可能的比分
1:1
12%
2:1
9%
1:2
7%
2:0
7%
2:2
6%
首发阵容
Real Salt Lake 3-4-2-1 · SJ Earthquakes 5-3-2
Real Salt Lake
- 1 R. Cabral Barbosa
- 44 L. De Fougerolles
- 26 P. Quinton
- 3 K. Henry
- 11 D. Marczuk
- 92 N. Caliskan
- 6 S. Spierings
- 8 J. Sanabria Magole
- 9 M. Guilavogui
- 12 S. Lobzhanidze
- 22 S. Solans Ormo
SJ Earthquakes
- 1 A. Gunn
- 3 P. Marie
- 25 M. Floriani
- 4 D. Romney
- 18 R. Roberts
- 2 J. Ricketts
- 20 N. Fernandez
- 6 I. Harkes
- 34 B. Leroux
- 19 P. Judd
- 7 O. Bouda
替补
- 23 C. Booth
- 25 C. Guske
- 2 D. Yedlin
- 19 A. Piol
- 29 S. Junqua
- 31 M. Stajduhar
- 34 L. Moisa
- 39 A. Hezarkhani
- 98 A. Katranis
- 11 T. Werner
- 5 D. Munie
- 14 R. Vieira Nan
- 36 E. Edwards Jr.
- 87 V. Costa De Brito
- 21 N. Buck
- 23 E. Löwen
- 17 J. Jasinski
- 9 L. Jovanovic
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