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Major League Soccer

DC United - Toronto

07/25/2026, 11:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
DC United
1.5
Total xG
2.8
Toronto
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
DUTOR

DC United

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-0.83
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.38
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.07
防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.05
全员可用

Toronto

防守实力 (场均失2.1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.68
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.23
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.67倍)
-0.11
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.02
Alonso Coello替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.80
+0.80
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

29%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

71%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Recently DC United averaged a strong 5.6 shots on target per game with a counter-attacking style
  • DC United currently scores more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.6) while Toronto's goal production stalls at 1.3
  • Toronto's extreme away weakness with an average of 2.75 goals conceded per match on the road
风险因素
  • DC United with only 2 days of rest since their last match
  • DC United concedes an average of 2.0 goals in home matches
  • Recently Toronto averaged a mere 2.8 shots on target per match in past games
概述

DC United hosts Toronto at Audi Field

MLS match on July 25, 2026, 11:30 PM

DC United is in 9th place with 19 points

Toronto sits in 12th place with 16 points

The home win probability is calculated at 39%

近期状态

DC United enters with form DLDDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The hosts are winless in their last 5 matches with 4 draws and 1 defeat

Toronto arrives with a form string of LLLDD

The visitors remained winless in their last 5 games with 2 draws and 3 losses

统计数据

DC United averages 1.38 goals scored and 1.63 goals conceded

At home the hosts concede an average of 2.0 goals per game

Toronto scores an average of 1.38 goals per match while conceding 1.81

On the road Toronto concedes a highly vulnerable average of 2.75 goals

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in history

Even record with 1 win for each team and 2 draws

Goal difference is balanced at 7 to 7

The last meeting ended in a 2-0 win for Toronto

关键球员

Tai Baribo leads DC United with 9 goals this season

Louis Munteanu contributed 5 goals and 1 assist

Peglow has recorded 1 goal and 3 assists

For Toronto Dániel Sallói scored 4 goals and provided 3 assists

Emilio Aristizábal scored 3 goals with a rating of 6.75

Kobe Franklin has recorded 2 goals and 2 assists

门将

Sean Johnson guards the goal for DC United and has 1 clean sheet

Luka Gavran is in goal for Toronto and has recorded 3 clean sheets

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Audi Field

Audi Field historically averages a high-scoring 4.6 goals per game

The model estimates a 57% probability for both teams to score

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