Major League Soccer
New England - Atlanta United
07/25/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.6
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%0:2
5%xG 分解
New England
Atlanta United
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
30%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Tactical play: New England recently dominated play with an average possession of 56.8%, but managed only 3.0 shots on target per match
- Home vs. Away discrepancy: New England boasts an extremely solid defense at home (0.58 goals conceded per game), whereas Atlanta United struggle away (conceding 2.4 goals on average)
- Squad impact for Atlanta United: The visitors will miss key attacking options as Ajani Fortune (2 goals) and Saba Lobjanidze (2 goals) are not named in the lineup
风险因素
- Rest advantage discrepancy: Atlanta United had only 2 days of rest since their last match, compared to New England's 3 days of break
- Struggling offenses: New England's recent scoring rate averaged only 1.0 goal per game, falling short of their season average (1.6)
- Limited data availability for weather data
概述
New England (4th place, 26 points) host Atlanta United (14th place, 12 points) at the Gillette Stadium
Major League Soccer match on July 25, 2026, 11:30 PM
The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 41%
近期状态
New England's recent form is WLWLD with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches
Atlanta United's recent form is LDLLD, remaining winless with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches
Form codes explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
According to advancedStats, the recent form trend is negative for both clubs
统计数据
New England score an average of 1.47 goals and concede 1.2 goals per match this season
At home, New England score an average of 1.42 goals and concede only 0.58 goals per match
Atlanta United score an average of 1.0 goal and concede 1.63 goals per match this season
In away games, Atlanta United concede an average of 2.4 goals while scoring 1.0 goal
历史交锋
In 5 direct head-to-head matches, New England recorded 4 wins and Atlanta United had 1 win
No matches ended in a draw between these two teams
The historical goal record is 8:6 in favor of New England
The last direct meeting ended in a 2-1 victory for New England
关键球员
For New England: Carles Gil (Midfielder, 5 goals, 3 assists, avg rating 7.45), Dor Turgeman (Attacker, 2 goals, 5 assists), and Peyton Miller (Defender, 3 goals)
For Atlanta United: Aleksey Miranchuk (Midfielder, 5 goals, 3 assists, avg rating 7.22), Miguel Almirón (Attacker, 1 goal, 2 assists, avg rating 7.32), and Elías Báez (Defender, 1 goal, 2 assists)
门将
New England goalkeeper Matt Turner has an average rating of 7.22 and kept 4 clean sheets this season
Atlanta United goalkeeper Lucas Hoyos has an average rating of 6.74 and kept 1 clean sheet this season
影响因素
Gillette Stadium features artificial turf
On artificial turf, New England have recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses with 13:8 goals
On artificial turf, Atlanta United have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with 13:16 goals
Venue history at Gillette Stadium averages 1.8 goals per match