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Major League Soccer

Nashville SC - Toronto

09/27/2026, 12:30 AM

2 : 0
预期进球
Nashville SC
2.0
Total xG
3.0
Toronto
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

2:0

10%

3:1

7%

3:0

7%
xG 分解
NSTOR

Nashville SC

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.91
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第12位, 相差11位)
+0.11
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
-0.09
Patrick Yazbek未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)

Toronto

排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第1位, 相差11位)
-0.12
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.01
Derrick Etienne Jr.替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
Alonso Coello替补席 (0球, 4助攻)
Richie Laryea未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅82%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

60%

平局

23%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

40%

非平局

77%

双方进球

是

56%

否

44%

关键因素
  • Three key players are missing for Toronto (Derrick Etienne Jr., Alonso Coello, Richie Laryea), leaving them with only 82% of their usual attacking strength
  • Nashville SC averaged 4.4 shots on target with 52% average possession in recent matches
  • The strong home win probability of 60% is backed by Toronto's poor away defense conceding 3.00 goals per game
风险因素
  • Nashville lost the most recent head-to-head match 1-2 on September 9, 2026
  • Toronto showed counter-attacking threat in recent matches, averaging 5.4 shots on target
概述

Nashville SC (1st place, 57 points) host Toronto (12th place, 29 points) at GEODIS Park

Major League Soccer match on September 27, 2026, 1:30 AM

The league leaders Nashville SC enter as clear favorites

近期状态

Nashville's form is WDLDW, coming off a 3-0 win against Chicago Fire

Form string for Nashville is WDLDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Toronto's form is DDWLL, coming off a 1-3 loss to St. Louis City

Form string for Toronto is DDWLL

统计数据

Nashville average 2.05 goals scored and 0.63 goals conceded per home game

Toronto concede a troubling average of 3.00 goals per away match

Nashville have kept 12 clean sheets so far this season

历史交锋

Five head-to-head matches in total

Four wins for Nashville SC and one win for Toronto

The last meeting on September 9, 2026, ended in a 2-1 victory for Toronto

关键球员

Sam Surridge leads the attack with 16 goals this season

Hany Mukhtar has contributed 11 goals and 6 assists

Cristian Espinoza has recorded 10 assists so far

门将

Joe Willis starts for Nashville, supported by the team's 12 clean sheets this season

Luka Gavran has made 26 appearances for Toronto, with the team keeping 3 clean sheets overall

影响因素

GEODIS Park features a natural grass surface

Matches at this venue average 3.6 goals per game

No weather data available for this match

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