Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC - Sporting KC
07/26/2026, 02:30 AM
预期进球
1.7
2.5
0.8
1:1
13%2:0
12%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
5%xG 分解
Los Angeles FC
Sporting KC
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
58%
平局
27%
客胜
16%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
84%
客胜或平局
42%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Matchup Advantage: LAFC's strong home offense (1.8 goals) meets Sporting KC's extremely weak away defense (4.17 goals conceded)
- H2H Dominance: Los Angeles FC dominates the historical matchup with 3 wins in the last 4 games and an 8-1 goal difference
- Model Prediction: Mathematical analysis calculates a 58% home win probability and 1.71 expected goals for the hosts
风险因素
- Fatigue factor: Both teams have only 3 days of rest since their last competitive match
- Dangerous trend: Sporting KC is currently scoring more frequently (2.0 goals) than their season average (1.1 goals), showing offensive strength with an average of 6.6 shots on target recently
- Squad absence: Los Angeles FC is missing important midfielder Timothy Tillman (1 goal, 2 assists)
概述
Los Angeles FC host Sporting KC at BMO Stadium
MLS match on July 26, 2026, 2:30 AM
Third-placed team faces fifteenth-placed team
Clear favorite role for the home side
近期状态
Los Angeles FC with three consecutive wins
Overall form: LLWWW
Recently a 3-1 home win against Real Salt Lake
Sporting KC also showing a positive trend
Overall form: WWLLW
Recently a 2-1 win against Minnesota United
统计数据
Los Angeles FC scoring avg of 1.76 goals per game
Defensively stable with avg 1.06 goals conceded
Sporting KC scoring avg of 1.13 goals per game
Away side's defense highly vulnerable with avg 2.5 goals conceded
历史交锋
4 head-to-head matches in recent years
3 wins for Los Angeles FC and 1 draw
Goal difference of 8-1 in favor of the Californians
Last meeting ended 3-1 for Los Angeles FC
关键球员
Denis Bouanga: 8 goals, 2 assists, rising form
Heung-min Son: 2 goals, 8 assists, stable performance
Mark Delgado: 2 goals, 2 assists, stable midfield presence
Dejan Joveljić: 8 goals, 1 assist, rising form
Manu García: 2 goals, 4 assists, strong form trend
Calvin Harris: 2 goals, 3 assists, rising form curve
门将
Hugo Lloris with 10 clean sheets this season
Stefan Cleveland has 0 clean sheets
影响因素
Los Angeles FC is very strong at home with 18 goals scored
Sporting KC has already conceded 25 goals away from home
The match will be played on natural grass at BMO Stadium