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Major League Soccer

Austin - Dallas

08/17/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 2
预期进球
Austin
1.3
Total xG
2.9
Dallas
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
AUSDAL

Austin

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.67倍)
-0.67
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.24
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.15
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第7位, 相差7位)
-0.10
Facundo Torres替补席 (1球, 5助攻)

Dallas

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.18
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.15
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第14位, 相差7位)
+0.05
Logan Farrington替补席 (6球, 2助攻)
Patrickson Delgado未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
Kaick替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅95%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

30%

平局

27%

客胜

42%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

58%

客胜或平局

70%

非平局

73%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Model Prediction: Mathematical analysis calculates a 42% probability of an away win and expects 1.59 goals for Dallas
  • Tactical Approach: Dallas played counter-oriented in recent matches with an average of 38% possession and 3.8 shots on target
  • Offense vs Defense: Dallas scores an average of 1.78 goals per game, while Austin is defensively vulnerable, conceding 2.0 goals per match
风险因素
  • Stalling Goal Production: Both teams currently show lower goal scoring averages than their season norms (Austin 0.8 vs 1.3; Dallas 1.8 vs 2.0)
  • Squad Absences for Dallas: The visitors have to play without Logan Farrington, Patrickson Delgado, Kaick, and the suspended N. Norris
概述

Austin hosts Dallas at the Q2 Stadium

Major League Soccer match on August 17, 2026, 2:30 AM

Austin is currently in 14th place with 17 points

Dallas sits in 7th place with 27 points

A crucial matchup for Dallas to secure their playoff position

近期状态

Austin shows a form of LLWLL, with 1 win and 4 losses

Dallas has a more stable form of WWDLD, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

In their last games, Austin lost to Colorado Rapids while Dallas drew against LA Galaxy

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Austin scores an average of 1.22 goals and concedes 2.0 goals per game this season

At home, Austin is defensively much stronger with only 0.7 goals conceded per match

Dallas scores 1.78 goals on average while conceding 1.39 goals per game

On the road, Dallas concedes 1.12 goals per game on average

历史交锋

There have been 5 head-to-head matches in total

Dallas dominates with 3 wins, while Austin has 1 win and there was 1 draw

The goal difference is 9 to 5 in favor of Dallas

The last direct meeting ended in a 0-2 away win for Dallas on September 14, 2025

关键球员

Myrto Uzuni has registered 6 goals and 1 assist this season

Christian Ramirez contributed 5 goals and 1 assist

J. Rosales recorded 1 goal and 1 assist

For Dallas, Petar Musa shines with 13 goals and 2 assists

Santiago Moreno has scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist

Joaquín Valiente contributed 3 assists

门将

Brad Stuver protects Austin's goal and kept 4 clean sheets this season

Jonathan Sirois represents Dallas with 3 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The game will be played on grass at the Q2 Stadium

The venue average is 2.8 goals per match

Both teams scored in 40% of the historical games at this stadium

Austin benefits from solid home defense with only 7 goals conceded in 10 home matches

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