Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC - San Diego
08/16/2026, 02:30 AM
预期进球
1.4
2.5
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
10%0:0
10%2:1
9%2:0
9%xG 分解
Los Angeles FC
San Diego
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
45%
平局
30%
客胜
26%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
55%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Form trend clearly favors the hosts: Los Angeles FC has recently scored more frequently (2.4) than their season average (2.1), while San Diego's goal production has stalled (1.4 compared to 1.8)
- Defensive contrast: San Diego concedes an extremely high average of 3.5 goals in away games, playing into the hands of the hosts' strong home offense
- Tactical setup: San Diego averaged a highly possession-dominant style (61% possession) in recent matches, which should open up space for the counter-attacking LAFC (who averaged 40% possession lately)
风险因素
- Los Angeles FC recently averaged only 3.4 shots on target per game, which could pose a risk if their efficiency drops
- Historical handicap: Los Angeles FC has never won any of their 3 direct encounters against San Diego (2 losses, 1 draw)
概述
Los Angeles FC (2nd place, 34 points) hosts San Diego (13th place, 21 points) at BMO Stadium
Major League Soccer match on August 16, 2026, 4:30 AM
The hosts enter this match as favorites
近期状态
Los Angeles FC is in strong form with 4 wins and 1 draw (WWWWD)
San Diego is struggling with only 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses (DLLWD)
The hosts' positive trend contrasts with the visitors' negative trend
统计数据
Los Angeles FC scores an average of 1.83 goals at home and concedes only 0.75
San Diego averages 2.0 goals scored away but concedes a massive 3.5 goals per away game
The hosts boast a stable defense with 11 clean sheets this season
历史交锋
In 3 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles FC has never won
San Diego won 2 games, with 1 draw between them
The last meeting ended in a 2:2 draw on May 3, 2026
关键球员
Denis Bouanga (10 goals, 4 assists) and Heung-min Son (4 goals, 8 assists) lead the LAFC attack
Mathieu Choinière supports the midfield with 2 goals and 3 assists
Not nominated for the hosts: Mark Delgado (2 goals, 2 assists)
For San Diego, Marcus Ingvartsen with 11 goals and Anders Dreyer with 7 goals and 7 assists are the key threats
Onni Valakari contributed 3 goals and 3 assists so far
门将
Hugo Lloris guards the hosts' goal and has kept 11 clean sheets this season
Visitor goalkeeper CJ dos Santos has recorded 5 clean sheets
Both goalkeepers aim to build on their records at BMO Stadium
影响因素
The grass pitch at BMO Stadium provides perfect playing conditions
Stadium statistics show an average of 2.8 goals per match
Los Angeles FC benefits from a strong home advantage, conceding only 0.75 goals per home game