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Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union - Inter Miami

08/19/2026, 11:30 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Philadelphia Union
1.4
Total xG
2.8
Inter Miami
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
PUIM

Philadelphia Union

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.34
状态上升 (2.8 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.34
防守实力 (场均失2.1球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.20
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第2位, 相差11位)
-0.18
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.17
全员可用

Inter Miami

防守实力 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.66
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.4倍)
-0.23
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第13位, 相差11位)
+0.07
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.01
Germán Berterame未进大名单 (7球, 4助攻)
Rodrigo De Paul替补席 (4球, 4助攻)
Mateo Silvetti未进大名单 (3球, 4助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.6球 vs 总体2.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

28%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

72%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Form curve favors the hosts: Philadelphia Union secured four consecutive wins recently, while Inter Miami lost 1-4 last time out
  • Tactical offensive strength: Philadelphia Union averaged 7.2 shots on target per game in recent matches
  • Historical dominance of the visitors: Inter Miami won four of the last five head-to-head encounters against Philadelphia
风险因素
  • High workload: Both teams enter the match with only 3 days of rest since their last competitive game
  • Defensive vulnerability: Inter Miami concedes an average of 1.9 goals per away match
  • Hosts' defensive weaknesses: Philadelphia Union concedes an average of 1.84 goals per game this season
概述

Philadelphia Union (13th place, 19 points) hosts Inter Miami (2nd place, 38 points) at Subaru Park

Major League Soccer match on August 19, 2026, 11:30 PM

Inter Miami travels as the second-placed team, while Philadelphia Union is in the lower third of the standings

近期状态

Philadelphia Union shows a strong form curve with 4 consecutive wins

The form over the last 5 matches is LWWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Inter Miami lost their last match 1-4 against Nashville SC

The guests' form stands at WWWDL over the last 5 matches

统计数据

Philadelphia Union scores an average of 1.47 goals per game this season

Defensively, the hosts concede an average of 1.84 goals per match

Inter Miami boasts an extremely strong attack with 2.42 goals scored per game

The guests concede an average of 1.9 goals per away match

In 14 out of 19 matches for Inter Miami, there were over 2.5 goals scored

历史交锋

Inter Miami dominated the last 5 head-to-head matches with 4 wins

Philadelphia Union failed to win any of these matches, earning 1 draw

The last meeting ended in a high-scoring 6-4 win for Inter Miami

A total of 26 goals were scored in these 5 matches (10 for Union, 16 for Miami)

关键球员

Milan Iloski averages 0.68 goals per game this season and scored six goals in his last five matches

Kai Wagner provided three assists in his four appearances this season

Bruno Damiani has scored three goals this season, with three coming in his last five matches

Lionel Messi has 12 goals and 9 assists in 16 appearances for the guests

Luis Suárez scored an impressive seven goals in his last five games, averaging 0.86 goals per game this season

Telasco Segovia has recorded three goals and six assists in 17 appearances

门将

Andre Blake started in goal 18 times this season and kept three clean sheets

Dayne St. Clair played in goal 14 times this season for Inter Miami

Both teams' defensive units have already allowed many goals conceded this season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Subaru Park

The last five home games averaged 2.4 goals

The historical home record shows balanced matches in their own stadium

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