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Major League Soccer

Orlando City - Cincinnati

08/15/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Orlando City
1.6
Total xG
3.2
Cincinnati
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

5%
xG 分解
OCCIN

Orlando City

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.71倍)
-0.31
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.10
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.08
Martín Ojeda未进大名单 (11球, 0助攻)
Braian Ojeda未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Adrián Marín替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
Eduard Atuesta未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
Tiago替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅73%可用)

Cincinnati

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.6球)
+0.33
状态上升 (3.6 vs 2.5 赛季平均)
+0.33
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.09
Kenji Mboma Dem替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
Gerardo Valenzuela未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体2.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.72
+0.72
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

26%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

62%

Under 2.5

38%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 3.5

60%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

74%

双方进球

65%

35%

关键因素
  • Cincinnati averaged a strong 7.8 shots on target in recent matches, while Orlando City averaged 6.2
  • Cincinnati dominated the last head-to-head match with a resounding 6-2 victory and won three of the last five meetings
  • The mathematical model estimates a 62% probability for over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance for both teams to score
风险因素
  • Cincinnati concedes an average of 3.57 goals per away game
  • G. Valenzuela is missing for Cincinnati due to a Red Card suspension
  • Orlando City shows high defensive instability, conceding 2.61 goals per game
概述

Orlando City (11th place, 20 points) hosts Cincinnati (6th place, 26 points) at the Inter&Co Stadium

Major League Soccer match on August 15, 2026, 11:30 PM

Both teams are fighting for crucial points in the standings

A tight match is expected, with a home win probability of 39% according to the model

近期状态

Orlando City's form is DLWWL over the last games

They recently suffered a loss against New York RB

Cincinnati is in good form with DWWLW, recently winning against SJ Earthquakes

Both Orlando City (2.0) and Cincinnati (3.6) are currently scoring more than their season average

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Orlando City concedes an average of 2.61 goals per game this season

At home, their defense is more stable, conceding 1.44 goals per game

Cincinnati scores a strong average of 2.5 goals per match

Away from home, Cincinnati concedes an average of 3.57 goals while scoring 2.43

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 3, Orlando City won 1, with 1 draw

The last meeting ended in a resounding 6-2 victory for Cincinnati

Cincinnati scored a total of 11 goals in these matches, while Orlando City scored 7

Cincinnati enters this match as the historically dominant side

关键球员

Antoine Griezmann impressed with 1 goal and 3 assists in his last 5 games for Orlando City

Tyrese Spicer scored 2 goals in 5 recent matches for the home team

Griffin Dorsey shows rising form with 2 goals in 5 appearances

Evander shines for Cincinnati with 11 goals and 10 assists this season

Kévin Denkey contributed 11 goals and 2 assists in 17 season games

Pavel Bucha recorded 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 matches

Not nominated: Martín Ojeda (11G/0A), Braian Ojeda (1G/2A), Adrián Marín (0G/3A), Eduard Atuesta (0G/3A), Tiago (1G/1A)

门将

Maxime Crépeau is in goal for Orlando City, keeping 1 clean sheet at home

Roman Celentano guards the goal for Cincinnati but is yet to record an away clean sheet

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the Inter&Co Stadium

Stadium statistics reveal a high-scoring trend with an average of 3.2 goals per game

Orlando City has a positive goal difference at home with 15 scored and 13 conceded

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