🇺🇸

Major League Soccer

Atlanta United - New York RB

08/15/2026, 11:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Atlanta United
1.6
Total xG
3.2
New York RB
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

2:2

7%

0:2

5%
xG 分解
AUNYR

Atlanta United

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
-0.17
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第8位, 相差7位)
-0.12
防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.07
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.04
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.01
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.1球)
全员可用

New York RB

小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.11
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.06
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第15位, 相差7位)
+0.06
Jorge Ruvalcaba替补席 (7球, 0助攻)
25%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.72
+0.72
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

26%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

84%

Under 1.5

16%

Over 2.5

62%

Under 2.5

38%

Over 3.5

40%

Under 3.5

60%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

74%

双方进球

65%

35%

关键因素
  • New York RB averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches, showing higher offensive threat than Atlanta with 4.2
  • Artificial turf struggles: Atlanta won only 2 of 10 home games on this surface, while New York RB lost their only turf game 1-6
  • Squad impact: New York RB is missing Jorge Ruvalcaba, leaving them without 12% of their goal threat (7 goals)
风险因素
  • Defensive vulnerability: New York RB concedes an average of 2.62 goals in away games
  • Defensive disruption: Atlanta United is missing the suspended defender E. Mihaj
  • Poor home form: Atlanta United is winless in their last 5 games, suffering 4 defeats
概述

Atlanta United host New York RB at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Major League Soccer match on August 15, 2026, 11:30 PM

Atlanta sits in 15th place with 12 points

New York RB is currently in 8th place with 25 points

Mathematical predictions show a balanced tie with a 37% home win and 37% away win probability

近期状态

Atlanta United is without a win in their last 5 matches

Home form shows LLDLL with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses

New York RB shows a more stable form of DWLLW with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Atlanta United averages 1.06 goals scored and 1.83 goals conceded per game

New York RB averages 1.61 goals scored and 2.17 goals conceded overall

Away from home, the guests concede an average of 2.62 goals per match

Both teams scored in 11 of Atlanta United's 18 league matches

历史交锋

There are 4 head-to-head matches recorded

The historical record is perfectly even with 1 win for each team and 2 draws

Goal difference is 4-5 in favor of New York RB

The last encounter on May 31, 2025, ended in a 2-0 win for New York RB

关键球员

Miguel Almirón scored 3 goals in his last 5 matches with a 7.47 average rating

Aleksey Miranchuk has recorded 5 goals and 5 assists this season with a 7.22 rating

Elías Báez contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in 16 appearances

Julian Hall is the top threat with 9 goals and 3 assists this season with a 6.96 rating

Cade Cowell has registered 2 goals and 6 assists this campaign

Emil Forsberg scored 2 goals and provided 4 assists with a 6.87 rating

门将

Lucas Hoyos starts in goal for Atlanta United with 1 clean sheet in 18 games

Ethan Horvath guards the net for New York RB and also has 1 clean sheet in 18 matches

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta United has a home record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses on artificial turf

New York RB lost their only artificial turf game this season by 1-6

Venue history indicates a high-scoring trend with an average of 4.2 goals per game

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。