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Major League Soccer

New York RB - Nashville SC

08/19/2026, 11:30 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
New York RB
1.4
Total xG
2.7
Nashville SC
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
NYRNS

New York RB

小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.29
排名劣势 (第8位 vs 第1位, 相差7位)
-0.10
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.05
Jorge Ruvalcaba替补席 (7球, 0助攻)
10%进球产出缺失 (仅95%可用)

Nashville SC

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.46
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.21
状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2.3 赛季平均)
-0.21
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
-0.14
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.07
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第8位, 相差7位)
+0.04
Ahmed Qasem替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体2.3球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

29%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

71%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Table standings: Undisputed league leaders Nashville SC (43 points) face struggling New York RB (25 points)
  • Tactical output: New York RB averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Nashville SC's average of 3.2
  • Offensive-defensive matchup: Nashville SC score an average of 2.0 goals away from home, while New York RB concede 1.8 goals per home match
风险因素
  • Short recovery time: Nashville SC face a physical disadvantage with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Defensive instability: New York RB concede an average of 2.16 goals per match this season
概述

New York RB (8th place, 25 points) host league leaders Nashville SC (1st place, 43 points)

Major League Soccer match on August 20, 2026, 12:30 AM

Sports Illustrated Stadium is the venue for this clash

近期状态

Form-String New York RB: WLLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Form-String Nashville SC: WWLDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

New York RB recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches

Nashville SC achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss during this period

统计数据

New York RB score an average of 1.58 goals and concede 2.16 goals per match

At home they average 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded

Nashville SC score an average of 2.05 goals and concede 0.79 goals

Away from home Nashville average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches in history between these teams

These resulted in 1 home win, 1 away win, and 2 draws

The last head-to-head match on May 15, 2025 ended 1:2

关键球员

Julian Hall scored 9 goals and provided 3 assists this season

Cade Cowell has 2 goals and 6 assists

Emil Forsberg recorded 3 goals and 4 assists

Sam Surridge scored 12 goals this season

Hany Mukhtar has 8 goals and 4 assists

Cristian Espinoza recorded 3 goals and 7 assists

门将

Ethan Horvath represents New York RB with 1 clean sheet

Brian Schwake represents Nashville SC with 8 clean sheets

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the Sports Illustrated Stadium

An average of 3.4 goals per match are scored at this venue

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