Major League Soccer
New York City - Philadelphia Union
08/16/2026, 10:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
3.1
1.5
1:1
12%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:2
6%2:0
6%xG 分解
New York City
Philadelphia Union
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
38%
平局
27%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
62%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
63%
否
37%
关键因素
- Critical squad impact: Absence of Nicolás Fernández Mercau limits New York City with only 45% of their seasonal goal production available
- Tactical offense: Philadelphia Union averaged 7.2 shots on target in recent matches, showing high offensive threat
- High-scoring venue history: Yankee Stadium matches historically produce an average of 4.4 goals per game
风险因素
- Severely reduced home attack with only 45% of the active goals share available due to a key player's absence
- Philadelphia Union struggles defensively on the road, conceding an average of 2.18 goals per away game
概述
New York City (7th place, 26 points) faces Philadelphia Union (14th place, 16 points)
Major League Soccer match at Yankee Stadium on August 16, 2026, 10:00 PM
Both teams aim for crucial points in the standings
近期状态
New York City shows a form of DLWWD with 2 wins and 2 draws
Philadelphia Union enters with a DLWWW form string
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
The visitors travel with a current streak of 3 consecutive wins
统计数据
New York City scores an average of 1.72 goals per match this season
Philadelphia Union scores 1.39 goals on average and concedes 2.18 goals per away game
At home, New York City averages 1.77 goals scored
历史交锋
There are 5 head-to-head matches recorded
New York City holds 3 wins compared to 2 wins for Philadelphia Union
The last meeting ended in a 2-1 victory for New York City on March 1, 2026
关键球员
Agustín Ojeda recorded 5 goals and 4 assists in 18 matches
Andrés Perea has 1 goal and 1 assist in 8 appearances
Keaton Parks scored 2 goals in 14 games
Milan Iloski is the top scorer for the visitors with 10 goals in 18 matches
Frankie Westfield contributed 4 assists in 14 appearances
Kai Wagner recorded 3 assists in 3 matches
门将
Matt Freese played 18 matches with an average rating of 6.92
Andre Blake started 17 games with a rating of 6.68
Both keepers have registered 3 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match is played on grass at Yankee Stadium
Yankee Stadium matches historically average 4.4 goals per game
The mathematical prediction shows a 60% probability for over 2.5 goals