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Major League Soccer

Sporting KC - St. Louis City

08/20/2026, 12:00 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Sporting KC
1.1
Total xG
2.9
St. Louis City
1.8
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

10%

0:2

9%

1:3

6%

0:3

6%
xG 分解
SKSLC

Sporting KC

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.61倍)
-1.10
防守不足 (场均失2.5球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.67
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.39
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第6位, 相差9位)
-0.10
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.04
Manu García未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)

St. Louis City

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.26倍)
+0.71
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.23
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.23
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第15位, 相差9位)
+0.08
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.02
Marcel Hartel未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

20%

平局

26%

客胜

54%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

46%

客胜或平局

80%

非平局

74%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Model Prediction: Mathematical analysis calculates a 54% probability for an away win for St. Louis City
  • Form Contrast: St. Louis City is undefeated in their last 5 matches (WWWDW), while Sporting KC lost 4 of their last 5 (LWLLL)
  • Tactical Dominance: St. Louis City recently averaged 5.8 shots on target per game with 57% possession
风险因素
  • Away vulnerability: St. Louis City concede an average of 1.88 goals per away match
  • Key player missing: Marcel Hartel (6 goals, 3 assists) is not in the starting lineup for St. Louis City
概述

Sporting KC (15th place, 14 points) host St. Louis City (6th place, 29 points)

Major League Soccer match on August 20, 2026, 2:00 AM

Classic matchup between the bottom of the table and the upper mid-table

近期状态

Sporting KC in poor form: LWLLL (1 win, 4 losses)

St. Louis City in strong shape: WWWDW (4 wins, 1 draw)

Explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Sporting KC average 0.95 goals scored and 2.53 goals conceded per game

St. Louis City average 1.42 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded per game

Sporting KC have failed to secure a single clean sheet this season (0 clean sheets)

历史交锋

5 head-to-head matches in total

1 win for Sporting KC, 2 wins for St. Louis City, 2 draws

The last match on July 17, 2026, ended in a 3-2 victory for St. Louis City

关键球员

Dejan Joveljić (8 goals this season, stable form trend)

Simon Becher (4 goals this season, rising form with 3 goals in the last 5 matches)

Tomas Totland (3 assists in the last 5 matches)

门将

Stefan Cleveland (Sporting KC) is yet to record a clean sheet this season

Roman Bürki (St. Louis City) has recorded 3 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Home advantage at Children's Mercy Park on a grass surface

Historical venue statistics show an average of 2.8 total goals per match

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