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Major League Soccer

St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake

08/02/2026, 12:30 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
St. Louis City
1.7
Total xG
2.7
Real Salt Lake
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
SLCRSL

St. Louis City

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.54
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.26
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.26
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.13
Marcel Hartel替补席 (5球, 3助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅89%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.7球 vs 总体1.4球)

Real Salt Lake

小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.32
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.04
Zavier Gozo未进大名单 (6球, 4助攻)
Morgan Guilavogui未进大名单 (1球, 4助攻)
Stijn Spierings替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
30%进球产出缺失 (仅68%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.8球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.73
+0.73
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

27%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

73%

双方进球

54%

47%

关键因素
  • St. Louis City shows a strong form curve and recently averaged 2.2 goals per game, which is higher than their season average of 1.4
  • The weak away defense of Real Salt Lake, conceding an average of 2.67 goals per game, favors the hosts
  • The statistical model estimates a 51% home win probability for the possession-dominant hosts
风险因素
  • Zavier Gozo, Morgan Guilavogui, and Stijn Spierings are missing for Real Salt Lake, leaving only 69% of their attacking threat available
  • St. Louis City has never won a direct matchup against Real Salt Lake, recording 2 draws and 2 losses in history
概述

St. Louis City (7th place, 25 points) host Real Salt Lake (5th place, 26 points) at Energizer Park

Major League Soccer match on August 2, 2026, 2:30 AM

A tight matchup between table neighbors fighting for playoff positions

近期状态

St. Louis City showing excellent form with a DWWWW trend

Recent run includes 4 wins and 1 draw for the home side

Real Salt Lake registers a WWDLL trend with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

St. Louis City enters this matchup in better overall shape

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

St. Louis City scores an average of 1.35 goals while conceding 1.35 per game

At home, the team concedes only 0.82 goals on average

Real Salt Lake scores an average of 1.75 goals and concedes 1.50 per match

Away from home, Real Salt Lake concedes an extreme average of 2.67 goals

历史交锋

A total of 4 head-to-head matches historically

No home win for St. Louis City, with 2 wins for Real Salt Lake and 2 draws

Goal record of 6:9 in favor of the visitors

The last direct meeting on October 19, 2025, ended in a 2:2 draw

关键球员

Simon Becher with 2 goals and 4 assists this season

Tomas Totland solidifies the defense with 2 assists and a 6.86 average rating

Daniel Ethan Edelman anchors the midfield with 1 goal and 2 assists

Not nominated for the hosts is Marcel Hartel (5 goals, 3 assists)

Sergi Solans leads the visitors' attack with 6 goals and 3 assists

Diego Luna shines with 4 goals, 1 assist, and a strong rating of 7.44

Juan Manuel Sanabria has contributed 1 goal and 4 assists so far

门将

Roman Bürki starts in goal for the hosts with 3 clean sheets this season

Rafael Cabral guards the visitors' goal with 2 clean sheets recorded

Bürki shows more stable recent form with a 5-match rating of 6.92 compared to Cabral at 6.70

影响因素

Energizer Park offers a natural grass surface for this match

Historically, the stadium averages 2.8 goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of historical matches at this venue

St. Louis City benefits from home strength, conceding only 0.82 goals on average

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