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Major League Soccer

Inter Miami - Columbus Crew

08/02/2026, 12:10 AM

2 : 2
预期进球
Inter Miami
1.9
Total xG
3.6
Columbus Crew
1.7
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:2

7%

3:1

5%

3:2

5%
xG 分解
IMCC

Inter Miami

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.4球)
+0.21
状态上升 (3.4 vs 2.7 赛季平均)
+0.21
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.47倍)
-0.16
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.10
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第11位, 相差9位)
+0.08
防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.01
Lionel Messi 替补席 (12球, 8助攻)
Germán Berterame未进大名单 (7球, 4助攻)
Telasco Segovia替补席 (2球, 6助攻)
Ian Fray未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
47%进球产出缺失 (仅49%可用)

Columbus Crew

小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
-0.46
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.28
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第2位, 相差9位)
-0.17
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.03
Max Arfsten替补席 (4球, 4助攻)
40%进球产出缺失 (仅72%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.73
+0.73
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

24%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

88%

Under 1.5

12%

Over 2.5

69%

Under 2.5

31%

Over 3.5

48%

Under 3.5

52%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

76%

双方进球

70%

30%

关键因素
  • Critical squad impact: Only 50% of the usual attacking threat is available, with Lionel Messi, Germán Berterame, Telasco Segovia, and Ian Fray missing
  • Historical dominance and form: Inter Miami won all 4 previous meetings against Columbus Crew and is riding a 5-match winning streak
  • Offensive drive: Inter Miami recently averaged 6.8 shots on target and the model predicts 1.90 expected goals for the hosts
风险因素
  • Vulnerable away defense: Columbus Crew concedes an average of 1.89 goals per away match
  • Defensive instability: Inter Miami conceded an average of 1.88 goals per game at home this season
概述

Inter Miami hosts Columbus Crew at Chase Stadium

Major League Soccer match on August 1, 2026, 11:30 PM

Second-placed Inter Miami with 37 points faces eleventh-placed Columbus Crew with 19 points

A clear hierarchy shapes this encounter

近期状态

Inter Miami is in outstanding shape with 5 consecutive wins

The home team recorded 5 wins in their last 5 matches with a WWWWW form

Columbus Crew shows unstable form with a LDWLW pattern

The momentum is fully on the side of the hosts

统计数据

Inter Miami scores an average of 2.53 goals per game this season while conceding 1.76

The hosts boast a highly productive offense with 43 goals scored in 17 games

Columbus Crew averages 1.41 goals scored per match and concedes 1.89 goals in away games

Miami's home matches average 2.38 goals scored per game

历史交锋

Inter Miami dominates the historical record with 4 wins in 4 head-to-head matches

Columbus Crew has never beaten Inter Miami in these matches

The overall goal ratio stands at 11 to 4 in favor of Inter Miami

The last meeting ended in a clear 5-1 home victory for Inter Miami on May 31, 2025

关键球员

Luis Suárez leads Inter Miami's attack with 9 season goals in 13 appearances

Mateo Silvetti has contributed 3 goals and 4 assists so far this season

Dániel Gazdag remains crucial for Columbus Crew's midfield with 3 goals this season

门将

Rocco Ríos Novo starts in goal for Inter Miami with a season average rating of 7.40

Patrick Schulte features for Columbus Crew with 17 appearances this season

Both keepers face a challenging match ahead

影响因素

Chase Stadium features a natural grass surface

Matches at this venue recently averaged a high of 4.80 goals per game

The mathematical model estimates a 69% probability for over 2.5 goals

The stadium has a strong history of high-scoring games

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