Major League Soccer
New York City - Chicago Fire
07/25/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.5
3.2
1.7
1:1
12%1:2
9%2:1
8%2:2
7%0:2
6%xG 分解
New York City
Chicago Fire
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
32%
平局
26%
客胜
42%
进球数
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
62%
Under 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
40%
Under 3.5
60%
双重机会
主胜或平局
58%
客胜或平局
68%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
65%
否
35%
关键因素
- High-scoring history at Yankee Stadium with an average of 5.0 total goals per game
- Chicago Fire averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches
- Missing top scorer Hugo Cuypers significantly reduces Chicago's usual attacking threat
风险因素
- Both teams face potential fatigue with only 3 days of rest since their last match
- New York City is missing key creative players Maxi Moralez and Hannes Wolf from the lineup
- New York City's defense remains vulnerable, conceding 1.38 goals per game on average
概述
New York City (6th place, 22 points) hosts Chicago Fire (3rd place, 26 points) at Yankee Stadium
Major League Soccer match on July 25, 2026, 11:30 PM
The mathematical model predicts a tight fixture with 1.48 expected goals for the hosts and 1.73 for the visitors
近期状态
New York City is in form WWDLW with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Chicago Fire arrives with form LWWWL including 3 wins and 2 losses
Form key: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
New York City averages 1.69 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded per game
Chicago Fire scores an average of 1.93 goals and concedes 1.27 goals
New York City scores 1.73 goals per game on average at home
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches, New York City won 2 times with 2 draws
The goal difference stands at 8:4 in favor of New York City
The last match on September 14, 2025, ended in a 3-1 win for New York City
关键球员
Nicolás Fernández Mercau has 11 goals and 3 assists this season
Agustín Ojeda recorded 4 goals and 3 assists
Talles Magno contributed 2 goals and 1 assist
For the visitors, Philip Zinckernagel has 5 goals and 7 assists
Maren Haile-Selassie has 3 goals and 3 assists
Robin Lod registered 3 goals and 1 assist
Not nominated: Maxi Moralez (1G/6A), Hannes Wolf (5G/2A), Keaton Parks (2G/0A)
Not nominated: Hugo Cuypers (13G/0A), Andrew Gutman (1G/2A)
门将
Matt Freese recorded 3 clean sheets this season
Chris Brady has registered 6 clean sheets so far
影响因素
Yankee Stadium features high-scoring games with an average of 5.0 total goals per match
Both teams scored in 60% of recent matches played at this stadium
The game will take place on natural grass