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Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union - Atlanta United

08/01/2026, 11:30 PM

3 : 2
预期进球
Philadelphia Union
1.6
Total xG
2.7
Atlanta United
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
PUAU

Philadelphia Union

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.28
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.28
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.21
防守实力 (场均失2.1球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.18
Ben Bender替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Atlanta United

小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.24
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.08
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.08
Ajani Fortune未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.73
+0.73
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

49%

平局

28%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

51%

非平局

72%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Form trend: Philadelphia Union is currently scoring more frequently with 2.4 goals compared to their 1.5 season average
  • Tactical focus: Philadelphia Union averaged 7.4 shots on target in their recent matches
  • Atlanta United's goal production has stalled, averaging just 0.8 goals in recent matches
风险因素
  • Atlanta United concedes an average of 2.67 goals per away game
  • Low scoring history at Subaru Park, averaging just 1.4 total goals per game
概述

Philadelphia Union host Atlanta United at Subaru Park

Major League Soccer match on August 1, 2026, 11:30 PM

A bottom-of-the-table clash between 14th place with 13 points and 15th place with 12 points

近期状态

Philadelphia shows positive momentum with two consecutive wins

Philadelphia Union form: LDLWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Atlanta United is winless in their last five matches

Atlanta United form: DLLDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Philadelphia averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game this season

Atlanta United concedes an average of 2.67 goals per away game

Both teams scored in 11 of Philadelphia's 17 matches

历史交锋

The last meeting ended in a 3-1 win for Atlanta United on March 14, 2026

In five head-to-head matches, there have been two draws and two home wins

A total of 8:6 goals were scored in favor of the home team in these matchups

关键球员

Milan Iloski stands out with 9 goals and an average rating of 7.31

Frankie Westfield has contributed 4 assists in 13 appearances

Aleksey Miranchuk leads the visitors with 5 goals and 4 assists

Not nominated for the hosts: Ben Bender (1G/1A)

门将

Andre Blake played 16 season games with an average rating of 6.71

Lucas Hoyos has 17 appearances and an average rating of 6.72

Both goalkeepers have recorded few clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Subaru Park

Subaru Park features a low average of 1.4 goals per game

Home advantage is visible as Philadelphia scores 1.4 goals at home while Atlanta averages 1.0 away

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