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Major League Soccer

CF Montréal - New England

08/01/2026, 11:30 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
CF Montréal
1.5
Total xG
2.6
New England
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
CMNE

CF Montréal

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.17
防守实力 (场均失2.1球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
+0.17
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第3位, 相差10位)
-0.16
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.16
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.11
W. Carmona Torres未进大名单 (4球, 2助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅81%可用)

New England

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.46
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.25
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.16
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第13位, 相差10位)
+0.06
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.73
+0.73
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

29%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

71%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Table disparity: Third-place New England (29 points) faces struggling 13th-place CF Montréal (15 points)
  • Form advantage: New England secured two wins in their last five matches, while Montréal remains winless in five games
  • Head-to-head dominance: New England won three of the last five meetings with a clear 14:5 goal difference
风险因素
  • New England's defensive vulnerability away from home, conceding an average of 3.67 goals per away game
  • Absence of W. Carmona Torres weakens Montréal's attack, with only 82% of the goal scoring share available
概述

CF Montréal (13th place, 15 points) face New England (3rd place, 29 points) at Stade Saputo

Major League Soccer match on August 1, 2026, 7:30 PM

New England enter the match as favorites in third place

近期状态

Montréal show weak form with "LDDLL" and no wins in their last five matches

New England travel with a form of "LWLDW" and two wins in their last five games

The home side recently managed only two draws and suffered three losses

统计数据

Montréal average 1.29 goals scored and 1.94 goals conceded per game this season

New England are offensively stronger with 1.63 goals and more stable with 1.19 conceded

At home, Montréal concede an average of only 1.00 goals per match

历史交锋

New England dominate the historical record with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings

In total, 14:5 goals were scored in favor of New England in these matches

The last direct duel ended in a clear 3-0 victory for New England

关键球员

Prince Owusu shines for Montréal with 9 goals and 6 assists this season

Carles Gil leads New England's midfield with 6 goals and 3 assists

Peyton Miller has already contributed 4 goals this season as a high-scoring defender

门将

Sébastian Breza plays in goal for Montréal and kept 4 clean sheets this season

Matt Turner kept goal for New England with 4 clean sheets as well

Both keepers share an identical clean sheet record this season

影响因素

The home advantage at Stade Saputo stabilizes Montréal with only 1.00 goal conceded per home game

The stadium average stands at 1.8 goals per match based on venue history

Mathematical predictions give Montréal a slight 42% chance of winning at home

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