Major League Soccer
Inter Miami - Toronto
08/22/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
2.2
3.5
1.3
2:1
9%3:1
7%2:2
6%1:2
6%3:0
5%xG 分解
Inter Miami
Toronto
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
55%
平局
23%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
68%
Under 2.5
32%
Over 3.5
47%
Under 3.5
53%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
45%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
67%
否
33%
关键因素
- Offensive advantage: Inter Miami's strong home attack (2.33 goals) meets Toronto's highly vulnerable away defense (2.8 goals conceded per game on average)
- Historical dominance: Inter Miami won 3 of the last 5 meetings against Toronto and enters the match with a 55% home win probability
- Tactical contrast: Inter Miami recently averaged 55% possession in matches, while Toronto averaged only 43.2% possession
风险因素
- High physical strain: Both teams enter the match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
- Slowing offense: Inter Miami's goal production recently dropped to an average of 1.8 goals per game compared to their season average of 2.53
- Missing stability: The suspension of midfielder Y. Bright due to a red card weakens the defensive lineup
概述
Inter Miami (2nd place, 39 points) host Toronto (10th place, 21 points)
MLS match at Chase Stadium on August 22, 2026, 7:30 PM
The hosts fight for the top spot while Toronto seek to close the gap
近期状态
Inter Miami recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games (WWDLD)
Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw against Philadelphia Union
Toronto stabilizes with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss (DLDWD)
The Canadians recently drew 3-3 against Charlotte
统计数据
Inter Miami scores 2.4 goals on average while conceding 1.9 per game
At home, they score 2.33 goals and concede 1.89 per match
Toronto struggles away, conceding 2.8 goals per game on average
The visitors score 1.4 goals per away match
历史交锋
Inter Miami won 3 of the last 5 direct meetings against Toronto
Two matches ended in a draw, with Toronto remaining winless
Their last duel in May 2026 resulted in a 4-2 away win for Inter Miami
关键球员
Lionel Messi leads Inter Miami with 13 goals and 9 assists in 17 matches
Luis Suárez added 10 goals and 3 assists
Germán Berterame contributed 7 goals and 4 assists
Dániel Sallói is Toronto's best scorer with 5 goals and 3 assists
Josh Sargent recorded 3 goals and 2 assists
Djordje Mihailovic has 2 goals and 3 assists
门将
Dayne St. Clair kept 4 clean sheets this season for Inter Miami
Luka Gavran achieved 3 clean sheets in 20 appearances for Toronto
影响因素
Chase Stadium sees highly high-scoring matches with 5.2 goals on average
All 5 previous matches ended with over 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in four
The game is played on natural grass