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Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo - Austin

07/26/2026, 12:30 AM

3 : 0
预期进球
Houston Dynamo
1.5
Total xG
2.4
Austin
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

2:0

11%

0:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
HDAUS

Houston Dynamo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.48倍)
-0.61
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.31
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.20
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第14位, 相差7位)
+0.05
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.02
全员可用

Austin

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.61倍)
-0.81
防守不足 (场均失2.1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.74
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.37
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.08
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第7位, 相差7位)
-0.07
Christian Ramirez替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
Jon Bell未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
17%进球产出缺失 (仅91%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.80
+0.80
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

51%

平局

29%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

49%

非平局

71%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Austin's extreme defensive vulnerability on the road, conceding an average of 3.57 goals per away game
  • The mathematical model projects a 51% probability of a home victory for Houston Dynamo
  • Houston Dynamo averaged a strong 5.4 shots on target per match in recent games
风险因素
  • High fatigue factor as both teams have had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Extremely low-scoring trend at the Shell Energy Stadium with an average of only 1.2 goals per game
  • The absence of Christian Ramirez (5 goals, 1 assist) reduces Austin's active goals share to 91%
概述

Houston Dynamo hosts Austin at the Shell Energy Stadium

Major League Soccer match on July 26, 2026, 2:30 AM

Houston is in 7th place with 23 points, while Austin sits in 14th place with 17 points

A crucial matchup in the race for playoff spots

近期状态

Houston's form is WLWDD with 2 wins and 2 draws

Austin's form is DLLLW with 1 win and 1 draw

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Houston Dynamo scores an average of 1.33 goals and concedes 1.60 goals

Austin scores 1.38 goals on average and concedes 2.00 goals

Austin concedes an average of 3.57 goals per away game

历史交锋

There have been 5 head-to-head matches

Both teams have recorded 2 wins and 1 draw

The last match ended in a 0-2 victory for Austin

关键球员

Guilherme has 8 goals and 4 assists in 15 matches

Jack McGlynn registered 2 goals and 3 assists in 11 appearances

Lawrence Ennali contributed 3 goals and 2 assists in 15 matches

Myrto Uzuni scored 6 goals and gave 1 assist for the visitors

Facundo Torres has 1 goal and 5 assists

Brad Stuver has a strong season average rating of 7.22

门将

Jonathan Bond has played 15 matches this season and secured 4 clean sheets

Brad Stuver has 16 appearances and also recorded 4 clean sheets

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Shell Energy Stadium

The stadium average is very low with only 1.2 goals per game

None of the last 5 home games had over 2.5 goals

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