Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire - New England
09/13/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
3.1
1.7
1:1
12%1:2
9%2:1
7%0:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Chicago Fire
New England
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
29%
平局
26%
客胜
45%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
双重机会
主胜或平局
55%
客胜或平局
71%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
62%
否
38%
关键因素
- Form advantage: New England is in stronger shape with 3 wins in their last 5 matches compared to Chicago's four consecutive draws
- Matchup benefit: Chicago averages 1.91 goals at home against a vulnerable New England away defense that concedes 1.90 goals on average
- Offensive power: New England averaged a strong 7.4 shots on target per match in recent games
风险因素
- Weakened squad: Maren Haile-Selassie, Robin Lod, and Andrew Gutman are missing, leaving only 68% of the usual goal threat available
- Fatigue factor: Both teams enter this match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
- Away vulnerability: New England concedes an average of 1.90 goals per away match this season
概述
Chicago Fire (5th place, 39 points) host New England (3rd place, 40 points) at Soldier Field
Major League Soccer match on September 13, 2026, 11:30 PM
The mathematical model predicts a close match with an advantage for the visitors at a 45% away win probability
近期状态
Chicago Fire shows a stable form with the record WDDDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The home side is on a run of four consecutive draws
New England is in strong shape with the record WDWLW, coming off a win
统计数据
Chicago Fire averages 1.91 goals scored and 1.43 goals conceded per game
At home, Chicago Fire's defense is tighter, conceding only 1.09 goals per game
New England averages 1.63 goals scored but concedes 1.90 goals per away match
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches, there is 1 win for Chicago Fire, 1 win for New England, and 2 draws
The last match ended in a 2:2 draw
The overall balance is completely even with 6 goals scored by each team
关键球员
Robert Lewandowski has 6 goals and 2 assists in 9 appearances for Chicago Fire
Philip Zinckernagel has provided 9 assists so far this season
For New England, Carles Gil has been outstanding with 10 goals and 4 assists in 24 matches
门将
Chris Brady starts in goal for Chicago Fire, keeping 4 clean sheets at home
Matt Turner plays in goal for New England, recording 5 clean sheets this season
Both goalkeepers look to make an impact in this match
影响因素
The match will be played on grass at Soldier Field
Chicago Fire averages 1.91 goals scored per home match
The venue statistics show an average of 2.8 goals per match