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Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake - New York City

09/13/2026, 01:30 AM

0 : 2
预期进球
Real Salt Lake
1.5
Total xG
2.8
New York City
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
RSLNYC

Real Salt Lake

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.06
Diego Luna替补席 (5球, 3助攻)
Aiden Hezarkhani替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

New York City

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.24
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.18
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.06
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.6球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

28%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

72%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Model Prediction: Mathematical analysis estimates a 40% probability for a Real Salt Lake home win
  • Home strength vs away weakness: Real Salt Lake concedes only 1.0 goals per home game, while New York City lets in 1.86 on average away
  • Offensive ace: New York City features Nicolás Fernández Mercau who has already scored 14 goals this season
风险因素
  • High fatigue risk: Both teams enter the match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
  • Form crisis on both sides: Neither team managed to secure a single victory in their last five matches
  • Squad limitations for Real Salt Lake: Threatening players Diego Luna (5 goals, 3 assists) and Aiden Hezarkhani are missing from the lineup
概述

Mid-table clash in Major League Soccer

10th-placed Real Salt Lake hosts 9th-placed New York City

Both teams are currently tied at 29 points

Match scheduled for September 13, 2026, 3:30 AM

近期状态

Real Salt Lake registers a form of LLLDL in their last five matches

Four losses and one draw indicate a clear negative trend

New York City enters the match with an LDDDL form record

Three draws and two defeats in their recent outings

统计数据

Real Salt Lake scored 1.61 goals and conceded 1.61 goals on average this season

New York City averages 1.54 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded

The visitors concede an average of 1.86 goals in away games

Real Salt Lake defense is solid at home with only 1.0 goals conceded per game

关键球员

Sergi Solans leads with 9 goals this season

Noel Caliskan contributed 1 goal and 4 assists with a stable form

Nicolás Fernández Mercau shines with 14 goals in this campaign

Agustín Ojeda recorded 5 goals and 6 assists so far

门将

Rafael Cabral guards the net for the hosts with 2 clean sheets this season

Matt Freese recorded 4 clean sheets for New York City

Freese boasts a strong average rating of 6.93 this season

影响因素

The match takes place on natural grass at America First Field

Venue history indicates high-scoring matches with 3.8 goals on average

Both teams scored in 80% of the recent matches played at this stadium

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