Major League Soccer
Real Salt Lake - New York City
09/13/2026, 01:30 AM
预期进球
1.5
2.8
1.3
1:1
14%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Real Salt Lake
New York City
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
40%
平局
28%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
60%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Model Prediction: Mathematical analysis estimates a 40% probability for a Real Salt Lake home win
- Home strength vs away weakness: Real Salt Lake concedes only 1.0 goals per home game, while New York City lets in 1.86 on average away
- Offensive ace: New York City features Nicolás Fernández Mercau who has already scored 14 goals this season
风险因素
- High fatigue risk: Both teams enter the match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
- Form crisis on both sides: Neither team managed to secure a single victory in their last five matches
- Squad limitations for Real Salt Lake: Threatening players Diego Luna (5 goals, 3 assists) and Aiden Hezarkhani are missing from the lineup
概述
Mid-table clash in Major League Soccer
10th-placed Real Salt Lake hosts 9th-placed New York City
Both teams are currently tied at 29 points
Match scheduled for September 13, 2026, 3:30 AM
近期状态
Real Salt Lake registers a form of LLLDL in their last five matches
Four losses and one draw indicate a clear negative trend
New York City enters the match with an LDDDL form record
Three draws and two defeats in their recent outings
统计数据
Real Salt Lake scored 1.61 goals and conceded 1.61 goals on average this season
New York City averages 1.54 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded
The visitors concede an average of 1.86 goals in away games
Real Salt Lake defense is solid at home with only 1.0 goals conceded per game
关键球员
Sergi Solans leads with 9 goals this season
Noel Caliskan contributed 1 goal and 4 assists with a stable form
Nicolás Fernández Mercau shines with 14 goals in this campaign
Agustín Ojeda recorded 5 goals and 6 assists so far
门将
Rafael Cabral guards the net for the hosts with 2 clean sheets this season
Matt Freese recorded 4 clean sheets for New York City
Freese boasts a strong average rating of 6.93 this season
影响因素
The match takes place on natural grass at America First Field
Venue history indicates high-scoring matches with 3.8 goals on average
Both teams scored in 80% of the recent matches played at this stadium